09-21-2009: Ralcorp Holdings Co. (RAH): We Share Analysts' and Researchers' Optimism

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Recommendation

Ralcorp Holdings Co.

Ralcorp Holdings was headed toward having one of the highest decision matrix scores ever achieved on this site, save for the fact that in the last six trading sessions, the stock has plummeted from the top to the bottom of a well-defined channel trading range. Our first job was to try to find out what happened to cause this, especially since many of these days were strong market-up days. This was also on substantially-increased volume. The best we could do on this is to conclude Ralcorp has been borrowing heavily of late, issuing notes, and increasing its debt and share count. Revenues were up but earnings per share were down due to the increased count.

Ralcorp appears to be the acquisition champion of all times. Between 1999 and 2009, it made more than 17 major acquisitions, including the biggest of all that changed the nature of the company somewhat. Most of these acquisitions were "focused." It now appears to be setting itself with different forms of borrowing to acquire still more to fuel the earnings growth.

Missouri company Ralson Purina was not so focused and held subsidiaries outside the food and pet food industry such as Eveready Battery Co. In 1999, it spun off its cereal maker and smaller grocery human food businesses into a freestanding company named "Ralcorp." That spinoff included Bremner, Beech-Nut, Keystone and Breckenridge Ski Resorts (Vail, Colorado), and American Redemption Systems. Ralcorp began to divest itself of the non-focused businesses, but acquired Agribrands, which was also spun off from Ralston Purina. Purina eventually merged with Nestle. Spinoffs, in our opinion, generally perform better than parent companies, free of mismanagement, lack of focus, and other problems. As an example, witness the fate of Eastman Chemical after it was spun off from Eastman Kodak and did not suffer a complete meltdown as Kodak did.

Even though it contributed 12% of revenues at the time it was sold, Ralcorp divested itself of the ski resort operations. It made a major acquisition of Kraft's Post Cereals Division, and this changed the nature and size of Ralcorp somewhat drastically.

We note that institutions have been selling off Ralcorp rather pronouncedly in recent weeks, accounting for some of the recent downtrend. But researchers and analysts are generally agreed on much optimism for the stock. Ralcorp concentrates a large part of its business on manufacturing private label ("generic") brands for major grocery chains. These generally undercut companies like Kellogg and General Mills which have much to fear from Ralcorp. Anyone who has grocery-shopped lately notes that food prices are rising faster than the consumer price index and that is not all due to commodity prices which have been falling.

Of particular note in the strong financials of this company is the fact that the stock share price is very close to roughly 80% of book value per share, untypical with corresponding revenue growth potential.



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Ralcorp Holdings Inc.            (RAH  )    Sector: Consumer Goods
800 Market Street                Industry: Processed & Packaged Goods
Suite 2900                       Exchange: NYSE
St. Louis, MO.

Ralcorp Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the
manufacture, distribution, and marketing of Post branded cereals and
a range of store brand (private label) food products in the grocery,
mass merchandise, drug, and foodservice channels. The company-Ęs
products include ready-to-eat and hot cereal products; nutritional
and cereal bars; store brand and branded crackers and cookies;
foodservice, store brand, and branded frozen griddle products,
including pancakes, waffles, French toast, and custom griddle
products, as well as and biscuits; foodservice and store brand
breads, rolls, and muffins; store brand wet-filled products, such as
salad dressings, mayonnaise, peanut butter, syrups, jams and
jellies, and specialty sauces; and store brand and value branded
snack nuts, snack mixes, corn-based snacks, and chocolate candy. It
also holds an interest of approximately 19 percent in Vail Resorts,
Inc., a mountain resort operator in the United States. The company
serves retail chains, mass merchandisers, grocery wholesalers,
warehouse club stores, drug stores, restaurant chains, and
foodservice distributors in the United States and Canada. It sells
its products through a broker network, internal sales staff, a
network of third party warehouses, and independent truck lines. The
company was founded in 1995 and is based in St. Louis, Missouri.

Last Trade:  59.03                     52-Week Range:  74.07 -  50.81
Trade Date:  09-19                     Avg. Volume:    779,065 Shares
Index Membership: S&P 400 MidCap                   Employees:   9,000

Corporate Governance:
Ralcorp Holdings Inc.'s Corporate Governance Quotient (CGQ-«) as of
1-Sep-09 is better than 23.2% of S&P 400 companies and 66.1% of Food
Beverage & Tobacco companies.

     EPS:   4.65     Dividend Amount: $  0.00       Yield:         0.00%
                    Ex-Dividend Date: 06-Oct-04   Mkt Cap: $  3,340,000K
                        Payout Ratio:  0.00%

     Last Split Factor (new for old): N/A      Split Date: N/A

Key Statistics:

Enterprise Value: $  4,670,000K           Revenue (ttm)  : $  3,780,000K
                                             Gross Profit: $    506,300K
Earnings before Income Tax, Depreciation and Amortization: $    542,500K

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm):  1.23           Revenue per Share: $   70.98
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm):   8.60       Qtrly Rev Growth (y to y): 50.90%


P/E Ratio (fwd projected): 11.83      P/E Ratio (current):  12.69

P/E Growth Ratio (5 yr expected):  1.69  Operating Margin:   10.70%
               Price/Sales Ratio:  0.90     Profit Margin:    6.65%
                Price/Book Value:  1.29        Book Value: $ 46.51/sh.

Return on Assets:   6.91%        Net Income Avl to Common: $   251,600K
Return on Equity:  15.50%          Diluted Earnings/Share:     $  4.65
                              Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):       63.30%

Balance Sheet Items :                   Cash Flow Items (ttm):
(most recent qrtr)                      (trailing 12 mo.)

       Total Cash: $    273,400K        Operating Cash Flow:$    301,100K
       Total Debt: $  1,600,000K        Lvgd Free Cash Flow:$    246,020K
Total Debt/Equity:         0.00
 Total Cash/Share:      $  4.83
    Current Ratio:         1.53

Share Statistics:                       Stock Price History:

    Shares Outstanding:   56,610K       Stk 52-Week Change: -12.08%
                 Float:   55,230K       S&P 500 52-Wk Chng: -14.88%
  Sh. Short % of Float:     1.50%        50-Day Moving Avg:  62.65
           Short Ratio:     1.30        200-Day Moving Avg:  59.43
% Held by Institutions:    89.80%                     Beta:   0.11
    % Held by Insiders:     2.45%

Analysts' Estimates:               Cur. Qtr   Next Qtr  Cur. Year  Next Year
___________________________          Sep-09     Dec-09     Sep-09     Sep-10

  Average Earnings Estimate           1.25       1.08       4.55       4.99
  Average Revenue  Estimate         1,030M     1,050M     3,940M     4,150M

Factors Comparing This Company to Its Industry Leader (1.0 = Average):

Long Term EPS Growth Rate (5 yr): 0.020          EPS Growth (Qrtly YoY): -.007
  PEG Ratio (ttm, 5 yr expected): 0.747                 P/E Ratio (ttm): 0.230
      Revenue Growth (Qrtly YoY): 0.830


Annual Income Statements:                          All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          30-Sep-08    30-Sep-07    30-Sep-06

  Total Revenue                          2,824,400    2,233,400    1,850,200
  Cost of Revenue                        2,318,100    1,819,200    1,497,200
  Gross Profit                             506,300      414,200      353,000

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                         0            0            0
  Selling, General & Administrative        328,400      252,800      226,400
  Non-Recurring Expenses                  -117,200          900          100
  Other Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Total Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Operating Income or Loss                 295,100      160,500      126,500

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                0      -87,700       -7,200
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes         295,100       72,800      119,300
  Interest Expense                          54,600       42,300       28,100
  Income Before Taxes                      240,500       30,500       91,200
  Income Tax Expense                        86,700        7,500       29,900
  Minority Interest                              0            0            0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s          167,800       31,900       68,300

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                        0            0            0
  Extraordinary Items                            0            0            0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                   0            0            0
  Other Items                                    0            0            0
  Net Income                               167,800       31,900       68,300

  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustmnts            0            0            0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shares        167,800       31,900       68,300


Quarterly Income Statements:                           All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                    30-Jun-09   31-Mar-09   31-Dec-08   30-Sep-08

  Total Revenue                      994,000     946,500     968,200     873,500
  Cost of Revenue                    720,200     687,100     721,900     698,100
  Gross Profit                       273,800     259,400     246,300     175,400

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                   0           0           0           0
  Selling, General & Adminis.        148,500     156,700     147,400     121,200
  Non-Recurring Expenses              40,400     -19,400     -38,200     -34,900
  Other Operating Expenses           -43,800           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Operating Income or Loss           128,700     122,100     137,100      89,100

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net          0           0           0           0
  Earnings Before Int. & Taxes       128,700     122,100     137,100      89,100
  Interest Expense                    23,000      23,600      26,300      21,000
  Income Before Taxes                105,700      98,500     110,800      68,100
  Income Tax Expense                  37,800      35,300      41,200      25,900
  Minority Interest                        0           0           0           0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s     74,800      70,200      65,500      41,100

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                  0           0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                      0           0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes             0           0           0           0
  Other Items                              0           0           0           0
  Net Income                          74,800      70,200      65,500      41,100

  Preferred Stock & Other Adj.s            0           0           0           0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shs      74,800      70,200      65,500      41,100


Annual Balance Sheets:                                All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                        30-Sep-08      30-Sep-07      30-Sep-06
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                 14,100          9,900         19,100
  Short Term Investments                  65,700         55,300         93,300
  Net Receivables                        225,600         96,000         72,500
  Inventory                              337,000        227,100        196,000
  Other Current Assets                     5,400         10,400          5,500
  Total Current Assets                   647,800        398,700        386,400

  Long-Term Investments                  126,000        110,900         97,200
  Property, Plant & Equipt               903,100        460,600        401,100
  Goodwill                             2,454,300        569,300        460,000
  Intangible Assets                    1,189,500        270,500        142,600
  Accumulated Amortization                     0              0              0
  Other Assets                            23,200         43,100         20,200
  Deferred Long Term Asset Charges             0              0              0
  Total Assets                         5,343,900      1,853,100      1,507,500

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                       204,700        123,900         96,200
  Short/Current Long Term Debt                 0              0              0
  Other Current Liabilities              187,200         99,600        100,800
  Total Current Liabilities              391,900        223,500        197,000

  Long Term Debt                       1,668,800        763,600        552,600
  Other Liabilities                      270,100        342,700        200,200
  Deferred LT Liability Charges          601,600         39,900         81,300
  Minority Interest                            0              0              0
  Negative Goodwill                            0              0              0
  Total Liabilities                    2,932,400      1,369,700      1,031,100

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Stocks Options Warrants                0              0              0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock                   0              0              0
  Preferred Stock                              0              0              0
  Common Stock                               600            300            300
  Retained Earnings                      768,900        601,100        569,200
  Treasury Stock                        -257,300       -256,900       -187,700
  Capital Surplus                      1,919,600        121,600        122,300
  Other Stockholder Equity               -20,300         17,300        -27,700
  Total Stockholder Equity             2,411,500        483,400        476,400
  Net Tangible Assets                 -1,232,300       -356,400       -126,200


Quarterly Balance Sheets:                               All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                 30-Jun-09    31-Mar-09    31-Dec-08    30-Sep-08
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents        131,700       27,900       18,900       14,100
  Short Term Investments          141,700       59,200       65,900       65,700
  Net Receivables                 182,500      242,800      186,600      225,600
  Inventory                       336,900      360,800      338,100      337,000
  Other Current Assets              7,200       11,300        7,700        5,400
  Total Current Assets            800,000      702,000      617,200      647,800

  Long-Term Investments            69,800      115,500      104,600      126,000
  Property, Plant & Equipt       889,100      873,800      875,700      903,100
  Goodwill                      2,461,900    2,459,900    2,447,900    2,454,300
  Intangible Assets             1,179,600    1,186,000    1,181,200    1,189,500
  Accumulated Amortization              0            0            0            0
  Other Assets                     21,100       19,500       22,000       23,200
  Deferred LT Asset Charges       314,600      277,900      291,500      187,200
  Total Assets                  5,421,500    5,356,700    5,248,600    5,343,900

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                207,800      180,500      172,300      204,700
  Current Portion LT Debt               0            0            0            0
  Other Current Liabilities             0            0            0            0
  Total Current Liabilities       522,400      458,400      463,800      391,900

  Long Term Debt                1,544,000    1,576,200    1,516,400    1,668,800
  Other Liabilities               159,600      207,600      223,600      270,100
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges       562,500      592,200      600,300      601,600
  Minority Interest                     0            0            0            0
  Negative Goodwill                     0            0            0            0
  Total Liabilities             2,788,500    2,834,400    2,804,100    2,932,400

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, WarrantS               0            0            0            0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock            0            0            0            0
  Preferred Stock                       0            0            0            0
  Common Stock                        600          600          600          600
  Retained Earnings               979,400      904,600      834,400      768,900
  Treasury Stock                 -245,600     -246,400     -247,800     -257,300
  Capital Surplus               1,928,000    1,925,100    1,922,500    1,919,600
  Other Stockholder Equity        -29,400      -61,600      -65,200      -20,300
  Total Stockholder Equity      2,633,000    2,522,300    2,444,500    2,411,500
  Net Tangible Assets          -1,008,500   -1,123,600   -1,184,600   -1,232,300


Annual Cash Flow:                                    All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                       30-Sep-08      30-Sep-07      30-Sep-06

  Net Income                            167,800         70,200         68,300
Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                           99,500         82,400         66,800
  Adjustments to Net Income            -111,800         95,000        -65,400
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls         -135,400         11,900        -24,000
  Changes in Liabilities                115,400         -2,300          2,800
  Changes in Inventories                 -6,600        -14,700         -6,900
  Changes in Other Op'ing Actv's              0         10,000         11,200
  Total Cash Flow fr Operations         132,000        214,200         52,800

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                  -62,500        -51,700        -58,100
  Investments                            11,600              0          3,800
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing         -20,100       -331,700       -107,900
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing         -71,000       -383,400       -162,200

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                              0              0              0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock              -5,600        -75,500       -127,500
  Net Borrowings                        -59,700        240,500        130,400
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing           8,500              0              0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing         -56,800        160,000              0

  Effect of Exchange Rate Change              0              0              0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.s           4,200         -9,200         12,900


Quarterly Cash Flow:                                   All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                   30-Jun-09   31-Mar-09   31-Dec-08   30-Sep-08

  Net Income                         74,800      70,200      65,500      41,100

Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                       32,600      36,800      37,300      32,200
  Adjustments to Net Income         -99,900     -24,400     -28,300     -48,500
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls            0     -25,000      25,000    -135,400
  Changes in Liabilities                  0           0           0     115,400
  Changes in Inventories                  0           0           0      -6,600
  Changes in Other Oper'g Acts      137,700     -22,300      22,300         900
  Total Cash Flow f Operations      145,200      35,300     121,800        -900

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures              -28,300     -29,300     -17,300     -25,200
  Investments                        -1,700        -500       6,700      14,600
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing        -200     -54,700           0     -15,400
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing     -30,200     -84,500     -10,600     -26,000

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                          0           0           0           0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock         -11,600       1,500       9,100      -1,800
  Net Borrowings                    -32,000      65,400    -102,600      10,900
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing      31,100           0      -8,400           0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing     -12,500      58,500    -105,600      17,400

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg         1,300        -300        -800           0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.      103,800       9,000       4,800      -9,500


RAH    Ralcorp Holdings Inc.              [Indices near +3.0 or near zero,
                                          or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    2.2065       P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000       Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    2.3669

Sales Tests:
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   2.5556       Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.4191
Sales < $1 billion?        0.3541       Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.7009

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.0000       Long-Term Debt Service:    1.4451
LTD Being Reduced?         1.2000       Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.7655       Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.3060
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.6767       Debt / Assets < 1?         3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           0.6015       Inventory Turnover > 1?    2.3218
Shares Out Decreasing?     1.2000       Market Cap.> 1.5 Billion?  0.4491
                                        Profit Margin > 7.5%?      0.8866
Income Tests:
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000       EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0000
Enterprise Value/Revenue:  0.8200       EPS 5-yr Growth > 20%?     3.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   1.2291       EPS Growth Consistent?     2.4000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    3.0000       Collection < 45 days?      1.5435
Rev. Qtrly Growth > 15%?   3.0000       Gross Pft/Cur. LTD < 1?    3.0000
EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0000       Borrowing Int. Rate< 6%?   2.4841

Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          1.4901       % Held by Insiders  < 5%?  2.0408
Beta > 1.25?               0.0880       % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5568
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.1636       % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.9933
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500: -0.9920       Short Ratio > 5?           0.2600
Price/Book Value < 3?      2.7100       Short % of Float > 20?     0.0750
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.4065       Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.2239       Positive Free Cash Flow?   1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  1.0000       Price to C.F./sh. Ratio:   0.9697
                                        Cash Flow / Assets >.10?   0.4538

RAH     Ralcorp Holdings Inc.           Overall Zenith Index:      1.3962


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Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

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As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for Ralcorp Holdings:
Symbol? RAH
Total Months Available: 116
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  74.07   50.81     64.90   52.01     64.87   55.53

RANGE   =  74.07  TO   50.81            Close =  59.80
CHANNEL =  64.87  TO   55.53           Degree =   4
Volatility =  15.62%                    Index =   6
Channel Chart


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Intraday Chart

20 Days:

1 Day:

The following table details which MACD signals on the preceding chart are best taken.
Originally, this was set up for a two-day span, but ten days gives a better sample.
Unfortunately, with the 10-day span, the colored lines on the histogram are much
harder to read.  Both spans are shown above.  Red turning into green on the histogram
is a buy and green turning into red is a sell, but with the following conditions.  The
share price must have moved at least 0.2% away from the previous signal price in order
to avoid whipsawing.  More importantly, the +/- magnitude of the MACD (the blue line,
which crosses the red line at signal time) must be greater than the minimum required
magnitude indicated below.  Otherwise, the signal is ignored.

RAH    Minimum Magnitude MACD for Action = ± 0.0100

Ticker Day   Time     Hist.      MACD  Sig Line  Act    Price   Profit

RAH    08   08:53    0.0002   -0.0480   -0.0482   B     64.52     0.00
RAH    08   09:41   -0.0000    0.0244    0.0245   S     64.66     0.22
RAH    08   11:28    0.0012   -0.0161   -0.0173   B     64.52     0.43
RAH    08   12:15   -0.0005    0.0247    0.0252   S     64.71     0.73
RAH    09   06:30    0.0089    0.0079   -0.0009         64.72     1.04
RAH    09   06:47    0.0148   -0.1102   -0.1250   B     64.30     1.04
RAH    09   07:06   -0.0016    0.0309    0.0324   S     64.45     1.27
RAH    09   09:47    0.0017   -0.0424   -0.0441   B     64.28     1.54
RAH    09   12:11   -0.0019   -0.0188   -0.0169   S     64.08     1.22
RAH    10   06:30    0.0074    0.0004   -0.0070         64.10     0.94
RAH    10   06:49    0.0064   -0.0258   -0.0322   B     64.02     0.94
RAH    11   06:30    0.0038    0.0196    0.0158         64.18     1.10
RAH    11   06:43   -0.0041    0.0475    0.0516   S     64.18     1.10
RAH    11   08:37    0.0002    0.0281    0.0279   B     64.34     0.85
RAH    11   11:31   -0.0023    0.0593    0.0616   S     64.51     1.11
RAH    11   12:01    0.0009   -0.0338   -0.0347   B     64.26     1.50
RAH    11   12:48   -0.0038    0.0509    0.0546   S     64.45     1.80
RAH    14   06:30   -0.0265   -0.0084    0.0181         64.23     1.75
RAH    14   06:58    0.0068   -0.1095   -0.1163   B     63.95     1.75
RAH    14   07:11   -0.0019   -0.0929   -0.0911   S     63.70     1.36
RAH    14   08:04    0.0001    0.0312    0.0311   B     64.05     0.81
RAH    14   08:56   -0.0032   -0.0233   -0.0201   S     63.90     0.57
RAH    14   10:31    0.0003   -0.0309   -0.0312   B     63.74     0.81
RAH    14   12:52   -0.0020    0.0275    0.0295   S     63.61     0.61
RAH    14   13:11    0.0072    0.0101    0.0029   B     63.78     0.34
RAH    15   06:30   -0.0243   -0.0208    0.0035         63.13     1.09
RAH    15   10:08   -0.0011    0.0151    0.0162   S     62.81     1.09
RAH    15   12:23    0.0011   -0.0243   -0.0254   B     62.65     1.34
RAH    16   06:30   -0.0003   -0.0004   -0.0001         62.58     1.71
RAH    16   07:29   -0.0003    0.0183    0.0187   S     62.21     1.71
RAH    16   08:37    0.0013   -0.0439   -0.0453   B     61.90     2.22
RAH    16   09:01   -0.0003   -0.0378   -0.0375   S     61.74     1.97
RAH    16   10:23    0.0010   -0.0796   -0.0806   B     61.35     2.60
RAH    16   10:45   -0.0008   -0.0536   -0.0528   S     61.15     2.28
RAH    16   13:02    0.0043   -0.0349   -0.0392   B     61.31     2.02
RAH    16   15:02   -0.0044    0.1820    0.1864   S     62.11     3.33
RAH    17   06:30   -0.0618    0.1091    0.1709         61.31     3.33
RAH    17   06:51    0.0015   -0.1914   -0.1929   B     60.88     3.33
RAH    17   07:22   -0.0044   -0.0493   -0.0449   S     60.73     3.08
RAH    17   08:43    0.0015   -0.0646   -0.0661   B     60.56     3.36
RAH    17   09:26   -0.0035   -0.0221   -0.0186   S     60.21     2.77
RAH    17   09:50    0.0022   -0.0604   -0.0625   B     60.00     3.11
RAH    17   11:13   -0.0011    0.0158    0.0169   S     60.16     3.38
RAH    17   11:48    0.0001   -0.0286   -0.0287   B     60.00     3.65
RAH    17   12:57   -0.0014   -0.0194   -0.0180   S     59.83     3.36
RAH    18   06:30    0.0371    0.0497    0.0126         60.07     3.48
RAH    18   06:42    0.0004    0.0124    0.0120   B     59.97     3.48
RAH    18   07:45   -0.0001   -0.0899   -0.0898   S     58.86     1.63
RAH    18   08:02    0.0006   -0.0854   -0.0860   B     58.68     1.93
RAH    18   09:05   -0.0067    0.0511    0.0578   S     58.55     1.71
RAH    18   09:29    0.0003   -0.0265   -0.0269   B     58.42     1.93
RAH    18   09:51   -0.0020   -0.0312   -0.0292   S     58.28     1.69
RAH    18   10:36    0.0019    0.0522    0.0503   B     58.67     1.03
RAH    18   11:00   -0.0047    0.0906    0.0954   S     58.94     1.49
RAH    18   11:34    0.0010    0.0504    0.0494   B     59.20     1.04
RAH    18   12:06   -0.0005   -0.0163   -0.0158   S     59.00     0.71
RAH    18   13:02   -0.0261   -0.0333   -0.0072         59.03     0.66


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

The corresponding trades for the above chart are shown in tabular form below.



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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
GAAP vs. non-GAAP Earnings < 1%+ 1
Cash Flow + 1
Ratios + 1
Market Grader + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Intrinsic Value DDM + 1
Stock Scout + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity - 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest + 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's 0
Moving Average - 1
Stock Fetcher + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 13
Place 510 shares of Ralcorp Holdings Co. (RAH) on the Active List.