04-09-2020: Pentair, plc. (PNR): Split Itself in Half

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Recommendation

Pentair, plc.

Pentair plc ("Public Limited Company -- British equivalent of the U.S. corporation or "Inc.") is a maker of aquatic systems, filtration solutions, and flow technologies, including pumps, filters, valves, automatic cleaners, service and construction, agricultural irrigation and crop spray equipment. It serves residential where backyard pool applications are familiar to many homeowners, and also commercial, industrial, municipal & infrastructure applications, and agriculture. The company has an interesting website but it was flawed for our equipment which was able to read residential applications, but not any of the other four categories, commercial, industrial, government, etc. The company is based in England, and we had some problems interpreting its "Management Discussion of Operation Results." One of the main reasons for this was a recent decision to spin off half the company, its "electrical segment" nVent, now an NYSE listed stock under the symbol NVT. This resulted in some proforma accounting and charges we did not completely comprehend, so gave it a bad Management Discussion score. The fact that it is foreign- based did not help understanding in standard SEC reporting format.

When a company divests, we regard it as a bad sign, especially for the portion that was not spun off. Researchers are essentially negative on the stock, analysts more neutral to positive. Institutions are net acquirers.

News on this company includes shut downs of considerable portions of its production facilities and plants.

The Gabelli & Co. report under "Researchers" in this article is particularly worth noting because it deals a bit with the split of the company into two separate publicly-traded entities.

The company has a strong Zenith Index indicating strong financials, although some researchers disagree with us on valuation. The stock has held up better than most through the recent market meltdown suggesting that it is low risk. 



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Bond Issue

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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Pentair plc (PNR)                                         Exchange: NYSE
Regal House
70 London Road Twickenham        Sector: Industrials
London TW13 QS                   Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery
United Kingdom

Pentair plc provides various smart water solutions worldwide. It
operates through three segments: Aquatic Systems, Filtration Solutions,
and Flow Technologies. The Aquatic Systems segment manufactures and
sells residential and commercial pool equipment and accessories,
including pumps, filters, heaters, lights, automatic controls, automatic
cleaners, maintenance equipment, and pool accessories for residential
and commercial pool maintenance, pool repair, renovation, service and
construction, and aquaculture solution applications. This segment offers
its products under the Kreepy Krauly, Pentair, and Sta-Rite brand names.
The Filtration Solutions segment designs, manufactures, and markets
components and systems, such as point-of-entry and point-of-use
filtration, valves, and automated controls for residential and
commercial applications, as well as advanced filtration, oil and gas
separation, membrane technology, and energy recovery for food and
beverage, and industrial applications. This segment offers its products
under the Codeline, Everpure, Haffmans, Pelican, RainSoft, S++dmo, and
X-Flow brand names. The Flow Technologies segment manufactures and sells
light duty diaphragm pumps, high-flow turbine pumps, and solid handling
pumps. Its pumps are used in residential and municipal wells, water
treatment, wastewater solids handling, pressure boosting, fluid
delivery, circulation and transfer, fire suppression, flood control,
agricultural irrigation, and crop spray applications. This segment
offers its products under the Aurora, Berkeley, Fairbanks-Nijhuis,
Hydromatic, Hypro, Jung Pumpen, Pentair, Myers, Sta-Rite, and Shurflo
brand names. It serves businesses engaged in wholesale and retail
distribution in the residential and commercial, food and beverage, and
industrial verticals, as well as end-users, consumers, and original
equipment manufacturers. Pentair plc was founded in 1966 and is
headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Last Trade:  32.69                           52-Week Range:  47.43 -  22.01
Employees: 9,500                             Avg.Volume:   1,422,442 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pllar scores are Audit: 1; Board: 1; Shareholder Rights: 6; Compensation: 9.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS:  2.09    Dividend Amount: $ 0.76          Yield:  2.32%
             Ex-Dividend Date: Apr 15, 2020    Payout Ratio:  33.96

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:  16.12              Forward P/E (est.):  13.83
                                           Target Price:  37.19

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy): -18.23%               Beta:   1.23
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):   2.00%        Short Ratio:   2.07%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  52.00%         Shares Out:  167640000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   5.30%

          Book Value:  11.61                    Debt/Equity:  56.77%
    Price/Book Value:   2.69        Operating Profit Margin:  15.12%
         Price/Sales:   1.80                  Profit Margin:  12.03%
         Market Cap:   5,634,000,000       Return on Equity:  19.09%
    Enterprise Value:   6,270,000,000      Return on Assets:   7.03%

    Operating Cash Flow:        353,000
         Free Cash Flow:          4,000



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             12/31/2019  12/31/2018  12/31/2017

  Total Revenue                              2,957,200   2,965,100   4,936,500
  Cost of Revenue                            1,905,700   1,917,400   3,107,400
  Gross Profit                               1,051,500   1,047,700   1,829,100

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                        78,900      76,700     115,800
  Selling, General & Administrative            540,100     534,300   1,032,500
  Total Operating Expenses                     619,000     611,000   1,148,300

Operating Income or Loss                       432,500     436,700     680,800

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                5,100     -24,300    -104,300
  Interest Expense                              30,100      32,600      97,200
  Income Before Taxes                          407,500     379,800     489,200
  Income Tax Expense                            45,800      58,100       9,200

Net Income from Continuing Op.s                361,700     321,700     480,000

Non-recurring Events:
  Extraordinary Items                            6,000     -25,700    -186,500
  Net Income                                   355,700     347,400     666,500

Net Income Avail to Common Shares              355,700     347,400     666,500



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         12/31/2019    12/31/2018    12/31/2017

  Net Income                               361,700       321,700       480,000

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                              80,000        84,600       182,900
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls             -17,500       -15,300       -30,900
  Changes in Liabilities                   294,500       390,900       549,300
  Changes in Inventories                    13,600       -40,100       -29,400
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts             -96,000         7,000       -18,600

Total Cash Flow f Operations               353,000       439,100       620,200

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                      -58,500       -48,200       -70,900
  Investments                             -287,800       -13,700       -59,500
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing             -1,500             0             0

Total Cash Flows from Investing           -331,900       -68,800     2,630,400

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                          -122,700      -187,200      -251,700
  Sale of Purchase of Stock               -150,000      -150,000      -150,000
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing             -6,900       901,400             0

Total Cash Flows from Financing            -17,100      -407,900    -3,432,600

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.                 8,200       -12,000      -125,200



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          12/31/2019    12/31/2018    12/31/2017
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                    82,500        74,300       113,300
  Short Term Investments                          0             0             0
  Net Receivables                           502,900       488,200       831,600
  Inventory                                 377,400       387,500       581,000
  Other Current Assets                        4,600         7,700         5,500
  Total Current Assets                    1,061,900     1,039,400     1,748,800

  Long-Term Investments                     957,800       841,900     1,473,800
  Property, Plant & Equipt                  360,400       272,600       545,500
  Goodwill                                2,258,300     2,072,700     4,351,100
  Intangible Assets                         339,200       276,300     1,558,400
  Other Assets                               68,800        98,400        83,200

Total Assets                              4,139,500     3,806,500     8,633,700

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                          325,100       378,600       495,700
  Current Portion LT Debt                   131,800       116,700       173,500
  Other Current Liabilities                 136,500       149,200       219,500
  Total Current Liabilities                 749,000       818,700      1,199,400

  Long Term Debt                          1,029,100       787,600     1,440,700
  Other Liabilities                          67,300        69,900        86,100

Total Liabilities                         2,185,600     1,970,400     3,595,900

Stockholder Equity:
  Common Stock                                1,700         1,700         1,800
  Retained Earnings                         401,000       169,200     2,481,700
  Capital Surplus                          -226,500      -228,600      -243,400
  Total Stockholder Equity                1,953,900     1,836,100     5,037,800


Pentair plc (PNR)                           [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            1.7370          P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    2.0243
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   1.2764          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.3918
Sales < $1 Billion?        0.3382          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.4960

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.7046          Long-Term Debt Service:    1.8986
LTD Being Reduced?         0.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   0.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.7089          Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.0721
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.2064          Debt/Assets < 1?           3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    0.6097
Share Equity Increase:     1.4286          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  0.2662
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   0.0478
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?      1.6040          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0977
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.8621          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?      0.2811
Enterprise Value/Revenue   1.9055          EPS Growth Consistent?     0.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      0.7250
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0189          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  2.0514
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          2.1438          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   3.0000
Beta > 1.25?               0.9840          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5442
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?     -0.5910          % Held by Institut. > 30?  3.0000
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500: -0.3506          Short Ratio > 5?           0.4140
Price/Book Value < 3?      3.0000          Short % of Float > 20?     0.1060
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.4135          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  3.0000          Positive Free Cash Flow?   3.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  1.7444
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  1.6959

PNR    Pentair plc                         Overall Zenith Index:      1.3251


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Financial Statements

 PENTAIR PLC  (PNR)                          INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Revenue                                            6,449,000       4,890,000       4,936,500       2,965,100       2,957,200       2,957,200
Cost of revenue                                    4,263,200       3,095,900       3,107,400       1,917,400       1,905,700       1,905,700
Gross profit                                       2,185,800       1,794,100       1,829,100       1,047,700       1,051,500       1,051,500


Operating expenses
Research and development                             119,600         114,100         115,800          76,700          78,900          78,900
Sales, General and administrative                  1,334,300         979,300       1,032,500         534,300         540,100         540,100
Total operating expenses                           1,453,900       1,093,400       1,148,300         611,000         619,000         619,000

Operating income                                     731,900         700,700         680,800         436,700         432,500         432,500
Interest Expense                                     108,700         148,400          97,200          32,600          30,100          30,100
Other income (expense)                              -549,100           8,700         -94,400         -24,300           5,100           5,100
Income before taxes                                   74,100         561,000         489,200         379,800         407,500         407,500
Provision for income taxes                           139,100         109,400           9,200          58,100          45,800          45,800
Net income from continuing operations                -65,000         451,600         480,000         321,700         361,700         361,700
Net income from discontinuing ops                    -11,400          70,600         186,500          25,700          -6,000          -6,000
Net income                                           -76,400         522,200         666,500         347,400         355,700         355,700
Net income available to common shareholders          -76,400         522,200         666,500         347,400         355,700         355,700

Earnings per share
Basic                                                  -0.42            2.88            3.67            1.98            2.10            2.10 
Diluted                                                -0.42            2.85            3.63            1.96            2.09            2.09 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                180,300         181,300         181,700         175,800         169,400         169,400
Diluted                                              182,600         183,100         183,700         177,300         170,400         170,400

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PENTAIR PLC  (PNR)                          BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Total cash                                           126,300         238,500         113,300          74,300          82,500

Receivables                                        1,167,700         764,000         831,600         488,200         502,900
Inventories                                        1,174,300         524,200         581,000         387,500         377,400
Deferred income taxes                                 96,700               0               0               0               0
Prepaid expenses                                      87,600         135,900          96,000          45,200          53,500
Other current assets                                 128,000       1,009,400         126,900          44,200          45,600
Total current assets                               2,780,600       2,672,000       1,748,800       1,039,400       1,061,900

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                2,047,600       1,402,300       1,473,800         841,900         957,800
Accumulated Depreciation                          -1,104,800        -863,700        -928,300        -569,300        -597,400
Net property, plant and equipment                    942,800         538,600         545,500         272,600         360,400

Goodwill                                           5,255,400       4,217,400       4,351,100       2,072,700       2,258,300
Intangible assets                                  2,490,100       1,631,800       1,558,400         276,300         339,200
Deferred income taxes                                 62,800          39,000          43,000          26,200          29,600
Other long-term assets                               325,300       2,436,000         386,900         119,300          90,100
Total non-current assets                           9,076,400       8,862,800       6,884,900       2,767,100       3,077,600

Total assets                                      11,857,000      11,534,800       8,633,700       3,806,500       4,139,500 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Short-term debt                                          700             800               0               0               0
Capital leases                                             0               0               0               0          19,000
Accounts payable                                     578,800         436,600         495,700         378,600         325,100
Taxes payable                                              0          87,300          31,100          10,400          11,100
Accrued liabilities                                   59,800         117,100         173,500         116,700         131,800
Deferred revenues                                    126,600          22,500          29,900          21,300          22,500
Other current liabilities                            720,600         806,900         469,200         291,700         239,500
Total current liabilities                          1,486,500       1,471,200       1,199,400         818,700         749,000

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                     4,709,300       4,278,400       1,440,700         787,600       1,029,100
Capital leases                                             0               0               0               0          61,100
Deferred taxes liabilities                           844,200         609,500         394,800         105,900         104,400
Deferred revenues                                          0               0               0               0          21,300
Pensions and other benefits                          287,200         253,400         285,600          90,000          96,400
Other long-term liabilities                          521,000         667,900         275,400         168,200         124,300
Total non-current liabilities                      6,361,700       5,809,200       2,396,500       1,151,700       1,436,600

Total liabilities                                  7,848,200       7,280,400       3,595,900       1,970,400       2,185,600 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                           1,800           1,800           1,800           1,700           1,700
Additional paid-in capital                         2,860,300       2,920,800       2,797,700       1,893,800       1,777,700
Retained earnings                                  1,791,700       2,068,100       2,481,700         169,200         401,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income              -645,000        -736,300        -243,400        -228,600        -226,500
Total stockholders' equity                         4,008,800       4,254,400       5,037,800       1,836,100       1,953,900
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity        11,857,000      11,534,800       8,633,700       3,806,500       4,139,500

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PENTAIR PLC  (PNR)                          Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                           -65,000         451,600         480,000         321,700         361,700         361,700
Depreciation & amortization                          260,900         181,000         182,900          84,600          80,000          80,000
Investment/asset impairment charges                  554,700          13,300          32,000          12,000          21,200          21,200
Deferred income taxes                                  3,000         -16,100        -159,700          -4,100         -18,400         -18,400
Stock based compensation                              33,000          34,200          39,600          20,900          21,400          21,400
Change in working capital                            -26,200          28,500         -18,600           7,000         -96,000         -96,000
Accounts receivable                                   48,800          21,300         -30,900         -15,300         -17,500         -17,500
Inventory                                              1,400          34,300         -29,400         -40,100          13,600          13,600
Accounts payable                                      -8,100          38,000          32,600          58,300         -63,600         -63,600
Other working capital                                -68,300         -65,100           9,100           4,100         -28,500         -28,500
Other non-cash items                                 -21,100         168,900          64,000          -3,000         -16,900         -16,900
Net cash provided by operating activities            739,300         861,400         620,200         439,100         353,000         353,000

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen        -134,300        -117,800         -70,900         -48,200         -58,500         -58,500
Property, plant, and equipment reductions             27,300          24,700           7,900             200             600             600
Acquisitions, net                                 -1,913,900         -25,000       2,699,900         -13,700        -272,500        -272,500
Other investing activities                            55,400          -3,700          -6,500          -7,100          -1,500          -1,500
Net cash used for investing activities            -1,965,500        -121,800       2,630,400         -68,800        -331,900        -331,900

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                        2,078,300             800               0          39,700         651,500         651,500
Debt repayment                                      -358,900        -386,000      -2,923,200        -675,100        -401,500        -401,500
Common stock repurchased                            -200,000               0        -200,000        -500,000        -150,000        -150,000
Excess tax benefit from stock based compe              6,000           8,000               0               0               0               0
Dividend paid                                       -231,700        -243,600        -251,700        -187,200        -122,700        -122,700
Other financing activities                            -7,400          20,700         -57,700         914,700           5,600           5,600
Net cash provided by (used for) financing          1,286,300        -600,100      -3,432,600        -407,900         -17,100         -17,100

Effect of exchange rate changes                      -44,200         -27,300          56,800          -1,400           4,200           4,200
Net change in cash                                    15,900         112,200        -125,200         -39,000           8,200           8,200
Cash at beginning of period                          110,400         126,300         238,500          86,300          74,300          74,300
Cash at end of period                                126,300         238,500         113,300          47,300          82,500          82,500

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                  739,300         861,400         620,200         439,100         353,000         353,000
Capital expenditure                                 -134,300        -117,800         -70,900         -48,200         -58,500         -58,500
Free cash flow                                       605,000         743,600         549,300         390,900         294,500         294,500
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________



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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (PNR)     Pentair PLC

                               2015    2016    2017    2018    2019

          Annual Earnings:    -0.39    2.85    2.64    1.96    2.09
Average Price During Year:    40.84   38.28   42.80   44.72   39.32

                P/E Ratio:   104.71   13.43   16.21   22.82   18.81

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  35.20
             Current Price =  30.84

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.53    0.30    0.67    0.55    0.58

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   1.80
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     2.05
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Fair Value Estimator

Fair Value Estimate:

Fair Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates



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Research Reports

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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
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Insider Activity

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Insider Trades
Executive Compensation



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Institutional Activity

Institutional Ownership:

institutions 1
Mutual Fund Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for PENTAIR PLC:
Symbol? PNR
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  41.00   34.72     44.62   34.50     47.43   22.01

RANGE   =  47.43  TO   22.01            Close =  32.69
CHANNEL =  41.00  TO   34.72           Degree =   2
Volatility =  19.21%                    Index =   3
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

3 out of 8 favorable, (negative opinion.)

Val Idea
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Stock Consultant

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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer



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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

2 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow + 1
Average to Current P/E + 1
Ratios + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Fair Value Estimator - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting - 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart + 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 7
Place 960 shares of Pentair PLC (PNR) on the Active List.