12/16/2019: Plantronics Corporation (PLT): Huge Investory Write-Down

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Recommendation

Plantronics Corporation

Plantronics, Inc. deals in electronic communication equipment, with main emphasis on headsets. It gained some notoriety for its products used in early NASA space flights. The company is the subject from one of the largest collection of lawyers getting in on a class action lawsuit at the present time blaming directors for misleading investors just before writing off a lot of obsolete inventory. It seemed the company just wasn't developing new products fast enough to keep up with the market.

A large number of management changes ensued. Shakeups appear still to be going on. The company made a large acquisition (or merger) of Poly Corp. and changed its name for a time to Plantronics - Poly Corporation hoping Poly would add to revenues. Eventually the name was changed back again to Plantronics, with little explanation as to why or what was going on. Throughout it all, the ticker symbol PLT was maintained (or we wouldn't be reviewing it.)

The company has a good website aimed primarily at investors. Descriptions of its products are also supported along with a CEO Letter. We were not too thrilled with management's use of charts in SEC reporting rather than data tables.

The financials of this corporation look terrible to us. The company has an unacceptable Zenith Index and a string of losses in recent quarters. However projected earnings by analysts are substantial. Researchers remain overwhelming negative on the stock. Institutionals are net sellers but mutual funds buyers.

The stock chart shows little sign of turning around after a substantial drop, mostly reflecting dismal guidance being offered at times. The main culprit tanking shares was the writedown of a huge amount of inventory that they couldn't sell.

An exception to the negativity is the acquisition of shares by one director amd a couple of managers making overall insider trends positive, a rarity in American stocks today. Normally, we would consider this very significant, but company share performance has been too erratic. There is a lot of uncertainty whether or not new managers can turn the company around.

Sage stock market chart advice says gaps are often filled, which on the present chart suggests a quantum leap upward could result in a short squeeze upon anyi significant earnings improvement. 



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The screen below shows news items around November 6th in an attempt to account for a November 6th quantum gap down in stock share price. It appears to be associated with the release of a quarterly earnings report.on November 5th. Whatever was in there was unanticipated, probably related to the writedown on excessive inventory of obsolete products.

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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Plantronics, Inc. (PLT)                                   Exchange: NYSE
345 Encinal Street
Santa Cruz, CA 95060             Sector: Technology
United States                    Industry: Communication Equipment

Plantronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets various integrated
communications and collaborations solutions for corporate customers,
small businesses, and individuals worldwide. Its principal product
categories include enterprise headsets, which comprise corded and
cordless communication headsets; consumer headsets, such as Bluetooth
and corded products for mobile device applications, personal computer,
and gaming; voice, video, and content sharing solutions that include
Open SIP desktop and conference room phones, and video endpoints
designed to work with a range of unified communication and
collaboration, unified communication as a service, and video as a
service environments, including RealPresence collaboration solutions of
infrastructure to endpoints that allows people to connect and
collaborate; and support services. The company sells its products
through a sales team, as well as through value-added resellers,
integrators, direct marketing resellers, service providers, resellers,
retailer, office supply distributors, wireless carriers, catalog and
mail order companies, and mass merchants under the Poly, Plantronics,
and Polycom brands, as well as RIG sub-brand. Plantronics, Inc. was
founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Santa Cruz, California.

Last Trade:  24.01                           52-Week Range:  53.92 -  22.80
Employees: 7,490                             Avg.Volume:     644,507 Shares

Corporate Governance:
Pillar scores are Audit: 1; Board: 5; Shareholder Rights: 3; Compensation: 5.
         (A lower number means less governance risk.)

EPS: -3.42    Dividend Amount: $ 0.60          Yield:  2.50%
             Ex-Dividend Date: Nov 18, 2019    Payout Ratio:   0.00

Key Statistics:

    Trailing P/E:   0.00              Forward P/E (est.):   6.15
                                           Target Price:  40.33

Qrtly Stock Price Growth (yoy): -32.29%               Beta:   1.40
Qrtly S&P Index   Growth (yoy):  -4.40%        Short Ratio:   3.24%
    Qrtly Revenue Growth (yoy):  52.00%         Shares Out:  39920000
   Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):   0.00%

          Book Value:  17.21                    Debt/Equity: 254.83%
    Price/Book Value:   1.39        Operating Profit Margin:   3.66%
         Price/Sales:   0.51                  Profit Margin:  -7.14%
         Market Cap:     958,000,000       Return on Equity: -18.51%
    Enterprise Value:   2,400,000,000      Return on Assets:   1.33%

    Operating Cash Flow:        116,048
         Free Cash Flow:     -2,398,623



Annual Income Statement:                          (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                             3/30/2019   3/30/2018   3/30/2017

  Total Revenue                              1,674,534     856,903     881,176
  Cost of Revenue                              980,395     417,788     439,806
  Gross Profit                                 694,140     439,115     441,370

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                       201,886      84,193      88,318
  Selling, General & Administrative            567,878     229,390     223,830
  Total Operating Expenses                     769,764     313,583     312,148

Operating Income or Loss                       -75,624     125,532     129,222

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net              -27,068       3,992       1,673
  Interest Expense                                   0           0      29,230
  Income Before Taxes                         -185,692     100,227     101,665
  Income Tax Expense                           -50,131     101,096      19,066

Net Income from Continuing Op.s               -135,561        -869      82,599

Non-recurring Events:
  Extraordinary Items                                0           0           0
  Net Income                                  -135,561        -869      82,599

Net Income Avail to Common Shares             -135,561        -869      82,599



Annual Cash Flow Statement:                   (All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                         3/30/2019     3/30/2018     3/30/2017

  Net Income                              -135,561          -869        82,599

Operating Activities:
  Depreciation                             201,369        21,178        20,977
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls             -10,307       -12,238       -13,894
  Changes in Liabilities                    89,251       108,680       114,795
  Changes in Inventories                    -7,182       -13,309        -3,791
  Changes in other Oper'g Acts               5,339        55,351         2,143

Total Cash Flow f Operations               116,048       121,148       137,971

Investing Activities:
  Capital Exenditures                      -26,797       -12,468       -23,176
  Investments                           -1,642,241             0             0
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing                  0             0             0

Total Cash Flows from Investing         -1,407,543        23,489       -22,452

Financing Activities:
  Dividends Paid                           -22,880       -19,996       -19,959
  Sale of Purchase of Stock                -13,177        10,750         2,025
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing            -14,070       -11,429             0

Total Cash Flows from Financing          1,107,128       -60,446       -46,552

Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.              -188,152        88,691        66,704



Annual Balance Sheets:                              (All Numbers in Thousands)
  Period Ending                          3/30/2019     3/30/2018     3/30/2017
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                   390,661       301,970       235,266
  Short Term Investments                    269,313       178,179       160,051
  Net Receivables                           152,888       141,177       128,219
  Inventory                                  68,276        55,456        53,162
  Other Current Assets                       18,588        22,195        20,297
  Total Current Assets                      899,726       698,977       596,995

  Long-Term Investments                     300,743       294,509       293,185
  Property, Plant & Equipt                  142,129       150,307       149,735
  Goodwill                                        0             0        15,500
  Intangible Assets                               0        15,577        15,827
  Other Assets                                1,661        25,122        25,257

Total Assets                              1,076,887     1,017,159       933,437

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                           45,417        42,885        39,133
  Current Portion LT Debt                    80,097        74,285        70,034
  Other Current Liabilities                   2,947             0             0
  Total Current Liabilities                 125,514       117,170        109,167

  Long Term Debt                            492,509       491,059       489,609
  Other Liabilities                          18,566        15,045        10,294

Total Liabilities                           723,917       635,003       621,038

Stockholder Equity:
  Common Stock                                  816           804           793
  Retained Earnings                         299,066       319,931       257,291
  Capital Surplus                             2,870         4,694         3,759
  Total Stockholder Equity                  352,970       382,156       312,399


Plantronics, Inc. (PLT)                     [Indices near +3.0, near zero,
                                            or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
P/E Ratio < 28?            0.0000          P/E Ratio > 5?             0.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  0.0000          Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   3.0000          Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.2263
Sales < $1 Billion?        0.5972          Operating Margin < 7.5%?   2.0492

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.1570          Long-Term Debt Service:    0.7167
LTD Being Reduced?        -3.0000          Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         3.0000          Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.2120
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.3654          Debt/Assets < 1?           2.1865
Quick Ratio > 1?           3.0000          Inventory Turnover > 1?    0.0887
Share Equity Increase:     2.1469          Market Cap.< 1.5 Billion?  1.5658
                                           Intangibles < 3% Assets?   3.0000
Income Tests:
Profit Margin < 7.5%?     -0.9520          EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0006
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.8000          EPS 3-yr Growth > 15?     -0.0914
Enterprise Value/Revenue   0.5722          EPS Growth Consistent?    -2.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:  -3.0000          Collection < 45 days?      1.3503
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0000          Gross Pft/Cur. LTD > 1?    3.0000
                                           Borrowing Int. Rate < 6%?  3.0000
Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          2.3086          % Held by Insiders < 5%?   3.0000
Beta > 1.25?               1.1200          % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5063
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?     -0.7209          % Held by Institut. > 30?  3.0000
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500: -0.6210          Short Ratio > 5?           0.6480
Price/Book Value < 3?      3.0000          Short % of Float > 20?     0.6670
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.0782          Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F: -0.0484          Positive Free Cash Flow?  -1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  3.0000          Price to C.F.Ratio < 14?:  3.0000
                                           Cash Flow / Assets > 10%?  3.0000

PLT    Plantronics, Inc.                   Overall Zenith Index:      1.0795


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Financial Statements

PLANTRONICS INC  (PLT)                      INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in March. USD in thousands          2015-03         2016-03         2017-03         2018-03         2019-03             TTM           

Revenue                                              865,010         856,907         881,176         856,903       1,674,535       1,879,633
Cost of revenue                                      403,391         422,233         439,806         417,788         980,396       1,029,249
Gross profit                                         461,619         434,674         441,370         439,115         694,139         850,384


Operating expenses
Research and development                              91,627          90,408          88,318          84,193         201,886         238,077
Sales, General and administrative                    229,569         221,299         223,830         229,390         567,879         641,406
Restructuring, merger and acquisition                      0          16,160            -109           2,451          32,694          49,485
Other operating expenses                                   0         -16,160             109          -2,451         -32,694         -49,485
Total operating expenses                             321,196         311,707         312,148         313,583         769,765         879,483

Operating income                                     140,423         122,967         129,222         125,532         -75,626         -29,099
Other income (expense)                                 4,828         -40,791         -27,557         -25,305        -110,066        -146,132
Income before taxes                                  145,251          82,176         101,665         100,227        -185,692        -175,231
Provision for income taxes                            32,950          13,784          19,066         101,096         -50,131         -41,127
Net income from continuing operations                112,301          68,392          82,599            -869        -135,561        -134,104
Net income                                           112,301          68,392          82,599            -869        -135,561        -134,104
Net income available to common shareholders          112,301          68,392          82,599            -869        -135,561        -134,104

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   2.69            2.00            2.56           -0.03           -3.61           -3.40 
Diluted                                                 2.63            1.96            2.51           -0.03           -3.61           -3.40 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                 41,723          34,127          32,279          32,345          37,569          39,306
Diluted                                               42,643          34,938          32,963          32,345          37,569          39,306

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PLANTRONICS INC  (PLT)                      BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in March. USD in thousands          2015-03         2016-03         2017-03         2018-03         2019-03             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Short-term investments                                97,859         160,051         178,179         269,313          13,332
Total cash                                           374,709         395,317         480,149         659,974         215,841

Receivables                                          136,581         128,219         141,177         152,888         337,671
Inventories                                           56,676          53,162          55,456          68,276         177,146
Deferred income taxes                                  6,564               0               0               0               0
Other current assets                                  28,124          20,297          22,195          18,588          50,488
Total current assets                                 602,654         596,995         698,977         899,726         781,146

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                  271,990         293,185         294,509         300,743         394,828
Accumulated Depreciation                            -132,577        -143,450        -144,202        -158,614        -190,002
Net property, plant and equipment                    139,413         149,735         150,307         142,129         204,826

Equity and other investments                         107,590         145,623         127,176               0               0
Goodwill                                                   0               0               0               0       1,278,380
Intangible assets                                     16,077          15,827          15,577          15,498         825,675
Deferred income taxes                                      0               0               0               0          26,508
Other long-term assets                                10,308          25,257          25,122          19,534               0
Total non-current assets                             273,388         336,442         318,182         177,161       2,335,389

Total assets                                         876,042         933,437       1,017,159       1,076,887       3,116,535 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Accounts payable                                      32,781          39,133          42,885          45,417         129,514
Taxes payable                                          4,749           4,894           5,433           5,353          17,496
Accrued liabilities                                   25,404          42,185          32,437          43,198          78,967
Deferred revenues                                          0               0               0               0         133,200
Other current liabilities                             31,888          22,955          36,415          31,546         169,052
Total current liabilities                             94,822         109,167         117,170         125,514         528,229

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                        34,500         489,609         491,059         492,509       1,640,801
Other long-term liabilities                           19,323          22,262          26,774         105,894         225,818
Total non-current liabilities                         53,823         511,871         517,833         598,403       1,866,619

Total liabilities                                    148,645         621,038         635,003         723,917       2,394,848 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                             783             793             804             816             884
Additional paid-in capital                           717,848         769,489         818,777         876,645       1,431,607
Retained earnings                                    209,960         257,291         319,931         299,066         143,344
Treasury stock                                      -211,314        -718,933        -762,050        -826,427        -853,673
Accumulated other comprehensive income                10,120           3,759           4,694           2,870            -475
Total stockholders' equity                           727,397         312,399         382,156         352,970         721,687
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity           876,042         933,437       1,017,159       1,076,887       3,116,535

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PLANTRONICS INC  (PLT)                      Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in March. USD in thousands          2015-03         2016-03         2017-03         2018-03         2019-03             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                           112,301          68,392          82,599            -869        -135,561        -134,104
Depreciation & amortization                           18,711          20,142          20,977          21,178         201,369         228,797
Deferred income taxes                                   -980          -8,291            -657           7,464         -49,932         -80,678
Stock based compensation                              28,594          33,265          33,539          33,959          41,934          50,541
Change in working capital                               -411          19,808             681          55,306          33,387         -15,213
Accounts receivable                                    4,272           8,445         -13,894         -12,238         -10,307          17,334
Inventory                                                128           1,357          -3,791         -13,309          -7,182         -79,146
Accounts payable                                         -62           5,407           4,377           2,884           3,658          17,941
Accrued liabilities                                      500           4,998          13,260          -4,164          61,593          -7,528
Other working capital                                 -5,249            -399             729          82,133         -14,375          36,186
Other non-cash items                                  -3,777          13,553             832           4,110          24,850          27,720
Net cash provided by operating activities            154,438         146,869         137,971         121,148         116,047          77,063

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen         -21,962         -30,661         -23,176         -12,468         -26,797         -28,522
Acquisitions, net                                       -150               0               0               0      -1,642,241           8,001
Purchases of investments                            -216,013        -300,620        -300,434        -373,281            -822          -1,092
Sales/Maturities of investments                      216,559         199,681         301,158         409,238         262,317           6,830
Other investing activities                                 0               0               0               0               0           2,142
Net cash used for investing activities               -21,566        -131,600         -22,452          23,489      -1,407,543         -12,641

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                           34,500         644,150               0           8,000       1,244,713               0
Debt repayment                                             0        -190,249               0          -8,000        -103,188        -128,188
Common stock repurchased                            -112,939        -497,393         -34,236         -52,948         -13,177               0
Excess tax benefit from stock based compe              3,520           3,540           1,416               0               0               0
Dividend paid                                        -25,730         -21,061         -19,959         -19,996         -22,880         -23,820
Other financing activities                            15,431           4,316           6,227          12,498           1,660         -15,712
Net cash provided by (used for) financing            -85,218         -56,697         -46,552         -60,446       1,107,128        -167,720

Effect of exchange rate changes                       -3,508            -156          -2,263           4,500          -3,784          -1,346
Net change in cash                                    44,146         -41,584          66,704          88,691        -188,152        -104,644
Cash at beginning of period                          232,704         276,850         235,266         301,970         390,661         291,086
Cash at end of period                                276,850         235,266         301,970         390,661         202,509         186,442

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                  154,438         146,869         137,971         121,148         116,047          77,063
Capital expenditure                                  -21,962         -30,661         -23,176         -12,468         -26,797         -28,522
Free cash flow                                       132,476         116,208         114,795         108,680          89,250          48,541
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________





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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (PLT)     Plantronics Inc.

                               2014    2015    2016    2017    2018

          Annual Earnings:     2.63    1.96    2.51   -0.03   -3.61
Average Price During Year:    45.91   53.07   45.10   51.11   62.26

                P/E Ratio:    17.46   27.08   17.97 1703.53   17.25

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  = 356.66
             Current Price =  24

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:  -2.21   -1.06   -0.55   -1.14   -0.65

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =  -2.34
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =   -34.77
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

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Institutional Activity

Institutional Ownership:

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Mutual Fund Ownership:

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Sentiment

sentiment

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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for PLANTRONICS INC.:
Symbol? PLT
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  53.15   30.90     53.92   26.84     42.44   22.80

RANGE   =  53.92  TO   22.80            Close =  24.01
CHANNEL =  42.44  TO   30.90           Degree =   4
Volatility =  48.06%                    Index =  19
Channel Chart



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2 Days:



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2 out of 12 favorable, (negative opinion.)

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Ultimate Trading Systems

2 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index - 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings + 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E - 1
Ratios - 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Fair Value Estimator - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity + 1
Institutional Activity - 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment - 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea - 1
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart + 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total - 1
Place 1,250 shares of Plantronics, Inc. (PLT) on the Active List.