10-07-2011: Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH): Many Divisions; Employee Wellness

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Recommendation

Parker-Hannifin Corporation

Ohio-based Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) certainly has a large footprint in Southern California and the Los Angeles area. Our impression is that this company provides hundreds, if not thousands of jobs for employees and small businesses from which its division order materials and parts. These parts in turn are shipped to original equipment manufacturers for a wide range of mechanical products. The impression of jobs creation is not matched by number of employees in the overall organization which started in the 60 thousand range and dropped over the years into the 50 thousand range as the economy softened. American manufactuers of industrial equipment as a whole have been suffering greatly from the recent economic slowdowns and foreign competition. The company surely has a huge worldwide footprint, but the sense we get is that rather than exporting American jobs overseas, the company is more likely to emphasize selling American-made products overseas.

The first thing that jumped out at us from this review were the sheer number of divisions of Parker-Hannifin, a list long enough to fill up an entire page, as seen at the end of our "history" section. The company also seeks to emphasize this in its corporate webpages, of which there are very many. So it appears the company is on a wide range of acquisition binges of smaller companies, which are left more or less semi-autonomous to do whatever it is they were doing to be successful with local corporate-customer relations.

Problems with this company surfaced for us in its management reporting, which we usually find acceptable for all American-based corporations, but not this one. We found its "Management Discussion" section entirely lacking, and analyses of results of operations unacceptable. Also it seemed slow in reporting. Perhaps that was due to gathering information from all those separate divisions. Added to that was an unconscionably-large executive compensation package that reflects the worst in American lack of corporate governance. Will give "fellow shareholder" CEO Donald Washkewicz credit for not readily dumping his shares or exercising stock option perquisites anxiously as some executives do, but still $36 million in overhang exercisable stock options seems too much to us on top of a $12 million annual salary.

News on the company consists mainly of the introduction of new products in a fairly focused yet broad line of mechanical parts for pumps, valves, insulators and other materials. It is a little hard to get a grip on the massive range of products for this company which to its credit shows both intelligent diversification and individual group-centered leadership. Parker's own description of its focus is to become the world's number one supplier of motion and control equipment, with Eaton and Honeywell as its major competitors.

But taken altogether, our overall Decision Matrix for this company is very marginal, particularly due to a recent weak stock market, and it just barely made the "buy" column. A wide range of diversity of opinion exists regarding this company's future, which may be good for stock traders averse to large risk. Yet it would be incorrect to say the stock trades in a "range" or is a rolling stock, and our technical indicators that use oscillators generally did not do very well. Despite a deceptive chart pattern, we think this stock moves in broad long trends, and one must think in terms of years, not weeks in analyzing its charts. A recent news item, "Stocks to Buy and Forget" seems an apt description.

The company uses what it calls its "WIN" strategy which seemed pretty vague to us, except that it somehow involves language, leadership, linkage, and learning by doing. What all that means is a bit unclear to us, but we do see evidence the company attempts to seek after the welfare of its employees as a whole by providing opportunities in education, health care, and certain other benefits related to employ wellness. These in turn involve "Kaizen," a Japanese term of employee involvement in the practice of continual improvement. 



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Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is consider strong and > 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Parker Hannifin Corporation      (PH   )    Sector: Industrial Goods
6035 Parkland Boulevard          Industry: Industrial Equipment & Compon
Cleveland, OH 44124-4141         Exchange: NYSE

Parker Hannifin Corporation manufactures fluid power systems,
electromechanical controls, and related components worldwide. Its
Industrial segment offers pneumatic and electromechanical components, and
systems; filters, systems, and instruments to monitor and remove
contaminants from fuel, air, oil, water, and other liquids and gases;
connectors that control, transmit, and contain fluid; hydraulic components
and systems for builders and users of industrial and mobile machinery and
equipment; critical flow components for process instrumentation,
healthcare, and ultra-high-purity applications; and static and dynamic
sealing devices. This segment sells its products to original equipment
manufacturers (OEMs) and their replacement markets in the manufacturing,
transportation, and processing industries. The company-Ęs Aerospace segment
provides flight control systems and components, including hydraulic,
electrohydraulic, electric backup hydraulic, electrohydrostatic, and
electro-mechanical components for precise control of aircraft rudders,
elevators, ailerons, and other aerodynamic control surfaces. It also
provides electronics thermal management heat rejection systems, and
single-phase and two-phase heat collection systems for radar, ISAR, and
components primarily for use in the mobile and stationary refrigeration,
and air conditioning industry; and in fluid control applications in
various industries, such as processing, fuel dispensing, beverage
dispensing, and mobile emissions. This segment serves OEMs and their
replacement markets. Parker-Hannifin Corporation markets its products
through direct-sales employees, independent distributors, wholesalers, and
sales representatives. The company was founded in 1918 and is
headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Last Trade:  62.99                     52-Week Range:  99.40 -  59.26
Trade Date:  10-05                     Avg. Volume:  2,507,980 Shares
Index Membership:                                  Employees:  58,409

Corporate Governance:
    Audit (Low Concern), Board (Low Concern),
    Compensation (High Concern), Shareholder Rights (Medium Concern).

     EPS:   6.37     Dividend Amount: $  1.48       Yield:         2.30%
                    Ex-Dividend Date: Aug 25, 20  Mkt Cap: $  9,770,000K
                        Payout Ratio: 20.00%

     Last Split Factor (new for old): 3:2      Split Date: Oct 2, 200

Key Statistics:

Enterprise Value: $ 10,540,000K           Revenue (ttm)  : $ 12,350,000K
                                             Gross Profit: $  2,960,000K
Earnings before Income Tax, Depreciation and Amortization: $  1,850,000K

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm):  0.85           Revenue per Share: $   76.62
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm):   5.71       Qtrly Rev Growth (y to y): 22.40%


P/E Ratio (fwd projected):  8.05      P/E Ratio (current):   9.89

P/E Growth Ratio (5 yr expected):  1.44  Operating Margin:   12.21%
               Price/Sales Ratio:  0.79     Profit Margin:    8.50%
                Price/Book Value:  1.81        Book Value: $ 34.71/sh.

Return on Assets:   9.06%        Net Income Avl to Common: $ 1,050,000K
Return on Equity:  21.25%          Diluted Earnings/Share:     $  6.37
                              Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):       31.50%

Balance Sheet Items :                   Cash Flow Items (ttm):
(most recent qrtr)                      (trailing 12 mo.)

       Total Cash: $    657,470K        Operating Cash Flow:$  1,170,000K
       Total Debt: $  1,770,000K        Lvgd Free Cash Flow:$    851,790K
Total Debt/Equity:        32.18
 Total Cash/Share:      $  4.24
    Current Ratio:         1.80

Share Statistics:                       Stock Price History:

    Shares Outstanding:  155,060K       Stk 52-Week Change: -11.31%
                 Float:  153,590K       S&P 500 52-Wk Chng:  -3.17%
  Sh. Short % of Float:     0.00%        50-Day Moving Avg:  67.14
           Short Ratio:     1.70        200-Day Moving Avg:  82.14
% Held by Institutions:    83.20%                     Beta:   1.33
    % Held by Insiders:     0.61%

Analysts' Estimates:               Cur. Qtr   Next Qtr  Cur. Year  Next Year
___________________________          Sep 11     Dec 11     Jun 12     Jun 13

  Average Earnings Estimate           1.69       1.58       7.06       7.82
  Average Revenue  Estimate           200M     3,150M    13,380M    14,020M

Factors Comparing This Company to Its Industry Leader (1.0 = Average):

Long Term EPS Growth Rate (5 yr):   2.500      EPS Growth (Qrtly YoY):   5.000
  PEG Ratio (ttm, 5 yr expected):  11.667             P/E Ratio (ttm):   2.333
      Revenue Growth (Qrtly YoY):   4.375


Annual Income Statements:                          All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          Jun30,2011   Jun30,2010   Jun30,2009

  Total Revenue                         12,345,870    9,993,166   10,309,015
  Cost of Revenue                        9,387,457    7,847,067    8,181,348
  Gross Profit                           2,958,413    2,146,099    2,127,667

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                         0            0            0
  Selling, General & Administrative      1,467,773    1,277,080    1,290,379
  Non-Recurring Expenses                         0            0       43,763
  Other Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Total Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Operating Income or Loss               1,490,640      869,019      837,288

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net           22,785      -10,603      -42,134
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes       1,513,425      858,416      795,154
  Interest Expense                          99,704      103,599      112,071
  Income Before Taxes                    1,413,721      754,817      683,083
  Income Tax Expense                       356,571      198,452      172,939
  Minority Interest                         -8,020       -2,300       -1,629
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s        1,049,130      554,065      508,515

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                        0            0            0
  Extraordinary Items                            0            0            0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                   0            0            0
  Other Items                                    0            0            0
  Net Income                             1,049,130      554,065      508,515

  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustmnts            0            0            0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shares      1,049,130      554,065      508,515


Quarterly Income Statements:                           All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                   Jun30,2011  Mar31,2011  Dec31,2010  Sep30,2010

  Total Revenue                    3,409,830   3,240,103   2,866,664   2,829,273
  Cost of Revenue                  2,590,772   2,463,083   2,195,728   2,137,874
  Gross Profit                       819,058     777,020     670,936     691,399

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                   0           0           0           0
  Selling, General & Adminis.        413,441     375,069     345,679     333,584
  Non-Recurring Expenses                   0           0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Operating Income or Loss           405,617     401,951     325,257     357,815

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net        594      12,385       6,624       3,182
  Earnings Before Int. & Taxes       406,211     414,336     331,881     360,997
  Interest Expense                    24,821      24,619      25,631      24,633
  Income Before Taxes                381,390     389,717     306,250     336,364
  Income Tax Expense                  86,736     108,069      74,432      87,334
  Minority Interest                   -2,464      -2,059      -1,638      -1,859
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s    292,190     279,589     230,180     247,171

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                  0           0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                      0           0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes             0           0           0           0
  Other Items                              0           0           0           0
  Net Income                         292,190     279,589     230,180     247,171

  Preferred Stock & Other Adj.s            0           0           0           0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shs     292,190     279,589     230,180     247,171


Annual Balance Sheets:                                All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                       Jun30,2011     Jun30,2010     Jun30,2009
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                657,466        575,526        187,611
  Short Term Investments                       0              0              0
  Net Receivables                      2,123,703      1,730,070      1,539,285
  Inventory                            1,412,153      1,171,655      1,254,550
  Other Current Assets                   111,934        111,545        142,335
  Total Current Assets                 4,305,256      3,588,796      3,123,781

  Long-Term Investments                  597,532        687,320        674,628
  Property, Plant & Equipt             1,797,179      1,697,881      1,880,554
  Goodwill                             3,009,116      2,786,334      2,903,077
  Intangible Assets                    1,177,722      1,150,051      1,273,862
  Accumulated Amortization                     0              0              0
  Other Assets                                 0              0              0
  Deferred Long Term Asset Charges             0              0              0
  Total Assets                        10,886,805      9,910,382      9,855,902

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                     2,315,772      1,841,619      1,524,287
  Short/Current Long Term Debt            75,271        363,272        481,467
  Other Current Liabilities                    0              0              0
  Total Current Liabilities            2,391,043      2,204,891      2,005,754

  Long Term Debt                       1,691,086      1,413,634      1,839,705
  Other Liabilities                    1,156,305      1,697,136      1,476,546
  Deferred LT Liability Charges          160,035        135,321        183,457
  Minority Interest                      104,482         91,435         82,241
  Negative Goodwill                            0              0              0
  Total Liabilities                    5,502,951      5,542,417      5,587,703

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Stocks Options Warrants                0              0              0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock                   0              0              0
  Preferred Stock                              0              0              0
  Common Stock                            90,523         90,523         90,523
  Retained Earnings                    6,891,407      6,086,545      5,722,038
  Treasury Stock                      -1,815,418     -1,237,984     -1,289,544
  Capital Surplus                        668,332        637,442        588,201
  Other Stockholder Equity              -450,990     -1,208,561       -843,019
  Total Stockholder Equity             5,383,854      4,367,965      4,268,199
  Net Tangible Assets                  1,197,016        431,580         91,260


Quarterly Balance Sheets:                               All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                Jun30,2011   Mar31,2011   Dec31,2010   Sep30,2010
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents         657,466    1,107,955      808,736      923,836
  Short Term Investments                0            0            0            0
  Net Receivables               2,123,703    2,102,820    1,767,331    1,824,407
  Inventory                     1,412,153    1,390,862    1,361,457    1,295,137
  Other Current Assets            111,934       89,692      106,416      104,216
  Total Current Assets          4,305,256    4,691,329    4,043,940    4,147,596

  Long-Term Investments           597,532            0            0            0
  Property, Plant & Equipt      1,797,179    1,788,377    1,764,558    1,770,983
  Goodwill                      3,009,116    2,976,232    2,910,729    2,915,602
  Intangible Assets             1,177,722    1,191,072    1,178,912    1,180,021
  Accumulated Amortization              0            0            0            0
  Other Assets                          0      729,852      720,705      695,519
  Deferred LT Asset Charges             0            0            0            0
  Total Assets                 10,886,805   11,376,862   10,618,844   10,709,721

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable              2,315,772    2,167,187    1,839,575    1,890,801
  Current Portion LT Debt          75,271      173,233      101,293      391,303
  Other Current Liabilities             0            0            0            0
  Total Current Liabilities     2,391,043    2,340,420    1,940,868    2,282,104

  Long Term Debt                1,691,086    1,683,731    1,742,464    1,745,812
  Other Liabilities             1,156,305    1,609,205    1,570,850    1,539,527
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges       160,035      159,777      150,069      149,701
  Minority Interest               104,482      101,821      101,332       97,632
  Negative Goodwill                     0            0            0            0
  Total Liabilities             5,502,951    5,894,954    5,505,583    5,814,776

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, WarrantS               0            0            0            0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock            0            0            0            0
  Preferred Stock                       0            0            0            0
  Common Stock                     90,523       90,523       90,523       90,523
  Retained Earnings             6,891,407    6,664,687    6,449,601    6,284,148
  Treasury Stock               -1,815,418   -1,192,218   -1,203,217   -1,233,107
  Capital Surplus                 668,332      656,323      658,042      664,265
  Other Stockholder Equity       -450,990     -737,407     -881,688     -910,884
  Total Stockholder Equity      5,383,854    5,481,908    5,113,261    4,894,945
  Net Tangible Assets           1,197,016    1,314,604    1,023,620      799,322

Annual Cash Flow:                                    All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                      Jun30,2011     Jun30,2010     Jun30,2009

  Net Income                          1,049,130        279,589        508,515
Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                          339,800        362,509        357,737
  Adjustments to Net Income              96,713         51,008         35,617
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls         -259,752       -220,349        598,065
  Changes in Liabilities                104,725        343,815       -593,318
  Changes in Inventories               -139,062         53,862        218,595
  Changes in Other Op'ing Actv's              0         71,612          2,352
  Total Cash Flow fr Operations       1,166,933      1,218,822      1,129,192

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                 -207,294       -129,222       -270,733
  Investments                                 0              0              0
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing               0        -16,951       -690,098
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing        -244,938       -146,173       -960,831

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                       -206,084       -162,739       -161,575
  Sale or Purchase of Stock            -667,234        -14,692       -444,243
  Net Borrowings                        -66,375        -64,289        -18,303
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing               0              0          3,692
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing        -915,778       -649,996       -274,348

  Effect of Exchange Rate Change         75,723        -34,738        -32,450
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.s          81,940        387,915       -138,437


Quarterly Cash Flow:                                   All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                  Jun30,2011  Mar31,2011  Dec31,2010  Sep30,2010

  Net Income                        292,190     279,589     230,180     247,171

Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                       85,675      83,832      85,307      84,986
  Adjustments to Net Income          38,231     -18,145       8,627      68,000
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls       -4,079    -282,282      46,890           0
  Changes in Liabilities            -23,033     318,529       3,067    -193,838
  Changes in Inventories             -4,806      -4,616     -61,102     -68,538
  Changes in Other Oper'g Acts            0      12,810     -29,330       3,521
  Total Cash Flow f Operations      367,000     391,776     285,277     122,880

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures              -48,839     -48,660     -57,105     -52,690
  Investments                             0           0           0           0
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing           0      -9,175     -29,207      -6,278
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing     -41,823     -57,835     -86,312     -58,968

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                          0           0           0           0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock        -633,981     -19,559      -7,279      -6,415
  Net Borrowings                    -81,410      -4,638    -274,279     293,952
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing           0           0           0           0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing    -792,105     -57,302    -313,370     246,999

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg             0           0           0      22,580
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.     -450,489     299,219    -115,100     348,310


PH     Parker Hannifin Corporation        [Indices near +3.0 or near zero,
                                          or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    2.8311       P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  2.3200       Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000

Sales Tests:
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   2.9114       Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.4371
Sales < $1 billion?        0.0810       Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.6143

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.0124       Long-Term Debt Service:    3.0000
LTD Being Reduced?         1.8000       Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.9000       Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.1108
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      1.1157       Debt / Assets < 1?         3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           1.1632       Inventory Turnover > 1?    3.0000
Shares Out Decreasing?     2.4000       Market Cap.> 1.5 Billion?  0.1535
                                        Profit Margin > 7.5%?      1.1333
Income Tests:
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     2.6087       EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   1.0800
Enterprise Value/Revenue:  0.5667       EPS 5-yr Growth > 20%?     0.0300
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   0.8157       EPS Growth Consistent?     2.4000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    3.0000       Collection < 45 days?      0.7167
Rev. Qtrly Growth > 15%?   3.0000       Gross Pft/Cur. LTD < 1?    3.0000
EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   1.0800       Borrowing Int. Rate< 6%?   1.6296

Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          2.0240       % Held by Insiders  < 5%?  3.0000
Beta > 1.25?               1.0640       % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.6010
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?     -0.7144       % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.7733
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500: -0.2113       Short Ratio > 5?           0.3400
Price/Book Value < 3?      2.1900       Short % of Float > 20?     0.0000
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.5329       Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.3736       Positive Free Cash Flow?   1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  1.0000       Price to C.F./sh. Ratio:   0.8193
                                        Cash Flow / Assets >.10?   0.7824

PH      Parker Hannifin Corporation     Overall Zenith Index:      1.4997


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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for Parker-Hannifin:
Symbol? ph
Total Months Available:  46
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  93.15   67.52     99.40   82.80     92.01   60.36

RANGE   =  99.40  TO   60.36            Close =  60.81
CHANNEL =  92.01  TO   82.80           Degree =   2
Volatility =  15.15%                    Index =   3
Channel Chart


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Intraday Chart

20 Days:



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Stock Fetcher

Fetcher Fetcher


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer




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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

The corresponding trades for the above chart are shown in tabular form below.



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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings < 1%+ 1
Cash Flow + 1
Ratios + 1
Market Grader + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Intrinsic Value DDM + 1
Stock Scout + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports 0
Analysts - 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity - 1
Management Reporting - 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment - 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
Moving Average + 1
Right Time Study - 1
Stock Fetcher - 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer + 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network 0
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems - 1
Total + 1
Place 470 shares of Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) on the Active List.