07-15-2020: Pennymac Financial Services Inc. (PFSI): A History Connected to Sub-Prime Lending

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Pennymac Financial Services Inc.

Probably the first thing you want to know about Pennymac Financial Services Inc. (PFSI) is that Stanford Kurland is Chairman of the Board of Directors and highest-paid manager. He was associated with Countrywide Mortgage in Southern California which in turn was later associated with Bank of America. It was known for making subprime loans and fell apart or driven into extinction by regulators in the 2008 subprime lending crisis, after Kurland sold off $200,000,000 worth of his shares in Countrywide.

Pennymac was set up in 2008 and listed on the NYSE in 2013. It was described as a "new venture" picking up the pieces of the real estate meltdown of Countrywide. Kurland was never prosecuted for his role in Countrywide sub-prime loans.

The company is keenly aware of government bailout programs to help distressed lendees. We found its "Management Discussion" writeup unacceptably complicated and vague. However, the company has a CEO Letter to Shareholders and shows investor concern even to the extent of a special dividend and regular dividends amounting to around 1%.

Many employees are holdovers from the Countrywide era and Bank of America connections, with B of A having a processing center in So. Calif. located close to Pennymac's offices. Executives seem overpaid to us. Still, institutions are net acquirers and Dimensional Fund Advisors is present among the major stockholders, which we regard as a good sign.

The stock has been on a strong upswing, leading all its competitors in the mortgage servicing industry, which is of late a somewhat weak industry group. However, both researchers and analysts seem to agree the group shows a lot of promise because of continual refinancing business in a situation where the Federal Reserve is not anticipated to increase interest rates any time soon.

Stock charts look a little toppy, and while the stock melt down in the pandemic crisis, it appears to be back above a recent trading range into a new "breakout" range around $40+ / share. Most analysts and researchers consider this area low risk although projected earnings for next year are lower. The refi business is anticipated to continue strong but taper off from current levels.

The stock tends to be reactive after establishing trading ranges offering trading opportunities with indicators like Bollinger Bands (reacting off of band extremes) working well.

The stock is normally fairly benign in slowly increasing in value but it has nearly tripled in the past few months from a brief pandemic low panic selling, so some care is indicated because of its ability to make extreme moves without warning.



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

PFSI  PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.
   Exchange: NASD                          Group: Financial - Mortgage
   Rank of Industry:  32%                  Rank within Industry: 81 out of 252

      Shares Out:   79.23 (mil.)   Market Capitalization:$  3,258.81 (mil.)
      Sales (12 mo.): $  1,477.00 (mil.)              Sales Growth: 191.41%
      Avg Broker Recommend (1=Strong Buy): 1.20   Consensus Target:  45.00
      Dividend:$ 0.00  Yield: 1.17%  Payout Ratio: 0.06  Payout Chg:  0.00%

      PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. provides financial services primarily
      in the United States. The Company conducts its business in two segments:
      mortgage banking and investment management. Mortgage banking segment
      offers correspondent and retail lending businesses and loan servicing
      business. Investment management segment offers investment advisory and
      investment management services. PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. is
      headquartered in Moorpark, California.

   Recent Price:  41.13     52-Week High:  43.14     52-Week Low:  13.14

   20-Day Avg. Daily Volume =  1,024,133                    Beta:   1.18

Earnings per Share (EPS) Estimates:

                        This        Next        This        Next
                       Quarter     Quarter      Year        Year
                      06/2020     09/2020     12/2020     12/2021

    Average Estimate      3.08        2.82       11.83        8.37
 Number of Estimates         2           2           2           2
        Low Estimate      3.00        2.40       10.85        8.00
       High Estimate      3.08        3.03       12.39        8.09
        Year Ago EPS      0.92        1.51        4.89       11.62
          EPS Growth    230.43%      80.13%     137.63%     -30.77%

P/E Ratio Related Data:                                    EPS       Sales
  Current FY Estimate:   5.12                              Growth    Growth
   Trailing 12 Months:   3.54       vs. Previous Quarter:   98.40%    47.20%
     P/E Growth Ratio:   0.00          vs. Previous Year:  543.10%   191.41%

Price/Sales Ratio:  1.67    Price/Book Ratio:  1.38    Price/Cash Flow:  3.24

Other Fundamental Data:
                         06/30/20     03/31/20      12/31/19
Return on Investment         0.00        32.19         21.09
Return on Assets             0.00         6.73          4.40
Current Ratio                0.00         0.54          0.16
Quick Ratio                  0.54         0.54          0.16
Operating Margin             0.00        33.47         26.60
Net Margin                   0.00        33.47         26.60
Pre-Tax Margin               0.00         0.00          0.00
Book Value                  26.26        21.37         73.18
Inventory Turnover           0.00         0.00          0.00
Debt-to-Equity Ratio         0.00         2.15          2.31
Debt-to-Capital Ratio        0.00        68.30         69.78

Reported and Estimated Quarterly Earnings:
Reported                                03/2020   12/2019   09/2019   06/2019
                                           3.73      1.88      1.51      0.92
Estimated                              06/2020   09/2020   12/2020   12/2021
  Consensus 7 Days Ago                     3.08      2.82     11.80     38.30
  Upward Revisions                            0         0         0         0
  Downward Revisions                          1         1         1         1
  Consensus 30 Days Ago                    3.08      2.82     11.80     38.30
  Upward Revisions                            0         0         0         0
  Downward Revisions                          1         1         1         1

Annual Income Statements ($mil except EPS data):

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Sales                               1477.00   985.00   955.00   932.00   713.00
Cost of Goods                        282.00   165.00   138.00   108.00    85.00
Gross Profit                        1195.00   820.00   817.00   824.00   628.00
Selling, Deprec, Amort Expense       604.00   499.00   438.00   396.00   315.00
Income After Deprec + Amortization   591.00   321.00   380.00   428.00   313.00
Non-Operating Income                 -62.00   -53.00   -44.00   -45.00   -34.00
Interest Expense                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Pretax Income                        529.00   268.00   336.00   383.00   279.00
Income Taxes                         136.00    23.00    24.00    46.00    32.00
Minority Interest                      0.00   157.00   211.00   271.00   200.00
Investment Gains/Losses                0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Income/Charges                   0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Income from Continuing Operations    393.00   244.00   312.00   337.00   248.00
Extras + Discontined Operations        0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Net Income                             0.00    88.00   101.00    66.00    47.00
Income before Depr. + Amortization  1196.00   551.00   668.00   745.00   476.00
Depreciation + Amort. (Cash Flow)      0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Average Shares                        81.08    35.32    25.00    76.63    76.10
Diluted EPS bf Non-Recurring Items     4.89     2.59     2.20     2.94     2.17
Diluted Net EPS                        4.89     2.59     4.03     2.94     2.17


Balance Sheets ($mil. except per share data):

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15
Assets:

Cash + Equivalents                     0.00   263.00   273.00   208.00   185.00
Receivables                            0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Notes Receivable                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Inventories                            0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Current Assets                   0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Total Current Assets                 263.00   273.00   208.00   185.00   152.00
Property, Plant & Equipment           94.00    73.00    55.00    43.00    19.00
Investments + Advances                 2.00     1.00    10.00    72.00    71.00
Other Non-Current Assets             156.00   164.00   172.00   168.00   170.00
Deferred Charges                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.00
Intangibles                         2927.00  2821.00  2120.00  1628.00  1412.00
Deposits + Other Assets             6763.00  4146.00  4804.00  3039.00  1663.00
Total Assets                           0.00    10.00     7.00     7.00     5.00

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15
Liabilities:

Notes Payable                       1294.00  1292.00   892.00   151.00    61.00
Accounts Payable                     175.00   156.00   107.00   135.00    90.00
Current Portion Long-Term Debt         0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Current Portion Capital Leases        21.00     7.00    21.00    23.00    14.00
Accrued Expenses                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Income Taxes Payable                   0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Current Liabilities            119.00   151.00   183.00   266.00   267.00
Total Current Liabilities           1610.00  1606.00  1203.00   575.00   432.00
Mortgages                           4668.00  2475.00  2923.00  2422.00  1403.00
Deferred Income Taxes                  0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Convertible Debt                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Long-Term Debt                        91.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Non-Current Capital Leases             0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Non-Current Liabilities       1773.00  1744.00  1523.00   737.00   608.00
Minority Interest                      0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Total Liabilities                      0.00     8.00     5.00     5.00     3.00

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15
Shareholder Equity:

Preferred Stock                        0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Common Sock                            0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Capital Surplus                     1335.00  1311.00   204.00   183.00   172.00
Retained Earnings                    726.00   343.00   265.00   165.00    98.00
Other Equity                           0.00     0.00  1250.00  1052.00   792.00
Treasury Stock                         0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Total Shareholder Equity            2062.00  1654.00  1720.00  1399.00  1062.00
Total Liabilities+ Owners' Equity  10204.00  7479.00  7368.00  5134.00  3505.00
Total Common Equity                    0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Shares Outstanding                    78.50    77.40    23.50    22.30    21.80
Book Value per Share                  26.26    21.37    73.18    62.75    48.73



Cash Flow Statement:

    Operations, Investments, & Financial Activities

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Net Income                             0.00   392.97   244.44   311.52   336.98
Depreciation/Amortization + Deplet   604.94   229.64   287.98   317.18   163.33
Net Change in Assets/Liab.           -87.68   -27.29  -142.82   -48.31   -57.94
Net Cash f Discontinued Operations     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Operating Activities         -3155.35   125.59 -1340.26 -1544.37  -299.80
Net Cash f Operating Activities        0.00    -2.00   572.40  -883.59  -938.52
Property + Equipment                 -12.00   -17.76   -17.91   -30.39   -11.90
Acquisition/Disp. of Subsidiaries      0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Investments                           43.21    52.26   -84.12   -39.65   -24.63
Other Investing Activity             117.57  -357.11  -237.20    35.30  -526.61
Net Cash from Investing              148.78  -322.61  -339.23   -34.74  -563.14

    Use of Funds

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Issue (Repurchase) Capital Stock       4.09     0.02    -7.35     0.15     0.00
Issuance (Repayment) of Debt       63768.75   -40.91  1235.40  1095.45   623.05
Increase/Decrease Short-Term Debt    -10.92   -14.37     0.00    -7.11    13.58
Dividends + Distributions              0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Financing Acitivies         -61623.21   -66.73   -66.88  -121.32   -97.42
Net Cash from Financing             2129.00  -132.03  1161.17   967.16   539.21
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes        0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00

Net Change in Cash + Equivalents      32.65   117.75   -61.64    -6.11    29.22

    Net Change in Cash & Equivalents

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Cash at Beginning of Per.            155.92    38.17    99.37   105.47    76.26
Cash at End of Period                188.58   155.92    37.73    99.37   105.47
Net Change in Cash + Equivalents      32.65   117.75   -61.64    -6.11    29.22


Zenith Indices:                      [Indices near +3.0, or near zero,
                                     or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    0.0000     P/E Ratio > 5?             0.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000     Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000

Sales Tests:
Sales < $500 mil.?         0.5076     Sales incr. 25% Yearly?    3.0000
Sales > $340 million?      2.8971     Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.0000

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity Ratio < 0.40?  0.1860     LTD/Net Assets:            3.0000
Debt Reduction:            3.0000     Intangibles/Assets < 10%?  0.0004
Current Ratio > 2?         0.5400     Return on Equity > 9.8%?   3.0000

Earnings Tests:
EPS 5-Yr. Growth > 18%?    1.0753     Operating Margin > 5%?     0.1494
EPS Annual Growth > 0%?    3.0000     Dividend Rate cp 2.7%:     0.4333
Earnings Consistent?       1.6667     Payout Ratio Decreasing?   0.0120
Net Income Increasing 25%? 0.6970     Price<15% below 52-wk Hi?  1.0964
Positive Cash Flow?        3.0000     Price/Book X PE < 22?      3.0000
Profit Margin > 7.5%?      3.0000     Price/Book < 1.6?          1.1594
Profit Margin Increasing?  1.2583     Stock Compared to S+P 500: 3.0000

Price & Float Tests:
Return on Investment>12%?  1.8935     Shares Out > 50 mil.?      1.5846
Return on Assets > 10%?    0.3667     Beta > 1.25?:              1.1800
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   2.1090     Liquidity > 2%?            3.0000

Ownership Tests:
Analyst Following > 2.0?   2.5000     Market Capital'n > 300M?   3.0000
Owner's Equity Increasing? 1.5574     Shares Out Decreasing?     0.2817

PFSI                                   Overall Zenith Index:     1.9458


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Financial Statements

PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INC CLASS A  (PFSI)
                                            INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Revenue                                              713,110         931,887         955,463         984,629       1,477,404       1,951,524
Cost of revenue                                       85,481         108,385         138,125         164,502         282,035         325,415
Gross profit                                         627,629         823,502         817,338         820,127       1,195,369       1,626,109


Operating expenses
Sales, General and administrative                    314,899         395,553         460,312         526,347         633,179         706,941
Total operating expenses                             314,899         395,553         460,312         526,347         633,179         706,941

Operating income                                     312,730         427,949         357,026         293,780         562,190         919,168
Other income (expense)                               -33,537         -44,866         -21,117         -26,083         -32,746         -35,285
Income before taxes                                  279,193         383,083         335,909         267,697         529,444         883,883
Provision for income taxes                            31,635          46,103          24,387          23,254         136,479         230,810Net income from continuing operations                247,558         336,980         311,522         244,443         392,965         653,073
Other                                               -200,330        -270,901        -210,765        -156,749               0               0
Net income                                            47,228          66,079         100,757          87,694         392,965         653,073
Net income available to common shareholders           47,228          66,079         100,757          87,694         392,965         653,073

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   2.17            2.98            4.34            2.62            5.02            8.32 
Diluted                                                 2.17            2.94            4.03            2.59            4.89            8.04 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                 21,755          22,161          23,199          33,524          78,206          78,465
Diluted                                               76,104          76,629          24,999          35,322          80,340          81,020

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INC CLASS A  (PFSI)
                                            BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Short-term investments                                46,319          85,964         170,080         117,824          74,611
Total cash                                           151,791         185,331         207,805         273,113         262,902

Receivables                                           20,281          17,635          27,536          33,464          48,159
Prepaid expenses                                     299,354         348,306         318,066         313,197         331,169
Other current assets                               1,321,130       2,393,721       3,107,655       2,521,647       4,912,953
Total current assets                               1,792,556       2,944,993       3,661,062       3,141,421       5,555,183

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                   26,862          48,713          54,186          55,251         130,102
Accumulated Depreciation                             -10,551         -17,392         -24,733         -21,877         -26,532
Net property, plant and equipment                     16,311          31,321          29,453          33,374         103,570

Equity and other investments                           1,145           1,228           1,205           1,397           1,672
Intangible assets                                  1,414,960       1,638,877       2,145,317       2,860,360       2,989,920
Deferred income taxes                                 18,378               0               0               0               0
Other long-term assets                               261,944         517,483       1,531,056       1,442,021       1,553,672
Total non-current assets                           1,712,738       2,188,909       3,707,031       4,337,152       4,648,834

Total assets                                       3,505,294       5,133,902       7,368,093       7,478,573      10,204,017 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Accounts payable                                      89,915         134,611         106,716         156,212         175,273
Taxes payable                                              0          25,088          52,160         400,546         504,569
Other current liabilities                            679,548         555,052         419,970         367,278         298,024
Total current liabilities                            769,463         714,751         578,846         924,036         977,866

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                     1,462,739       2,557,482       3,800,438       3,758,401       5,933,071
Capital leases                                        13,579          23,424          20,971           6,605         112,130
Minority interest                                    791,524       1,052,033       1,250,263               0               0
Other long-term liabilities                          197,163         438,889       1,248,164       1,135,740       1,119,443
Total non-current liabilities                      2,465,005       4,071,828       6,319,836       4,900,746       7,164,644

Total liabilities                                  3,234,468       4,786,579       6,898,682       5,824,782       8,142,510 

Stockholders' equity

Common stock                                               2               2               2               8               8
Additional paid-in capital                           172,354         182,772         204,103       1,310,648       1,335,107
Retained earnings                                     98,470         164,549         265,306         343,135         726,392
Total stockholders' equity                           270,826         347,323         469,411       1,653,791       2,061,507
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity         3,505,294       5,133,902       7,368,093       7,478,573      10,204,017

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INC CLASS A  (PFSI)
                                            Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                           247,558         336,980         311,522         244,443         392,965         653,073
Depreciation & amortization                          155,552         306,124         281,633         258,814         609,040         611,859
Investments losses (gains)                                 0              82             -94            -589            -557             424
Stock based compensation                              17,521          16,198          20,697          25,251          24,771          32,608
Change in working capital                            -23,082         -29,645        -136,098         -27,287         -87,678          50,106
Accounts receivable                                    7,343           2,760         -10,802          -9,672         -20,257         -33,165
Prepaid expenses                                    -100,506         -85,955         -15,675         -33,415         -98,121        -103,741
Accounts payable                                      26,307          33,041         -41,412          32,750          38,551          49,934
Income taxes payable                                       0          25,570          29,901          25,313         104,023         198,407
Other working capital                                 43,774          -5,061         -98,110         -42,263        -111,874         -61,329
Other non-cash items                                -344,405      -1,568,261      -1,361,245          71,764      -3,183,664      -4,189,230
Net cash provided by operating activities             53,144        -938,522        -883,585         572,396      -2,245,123      -2,841,160

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen          -9,122         -21,852          -6,791         -13,421          -6,124          -4,992
Purchases of investments                             -24,632         -66,960        -120,734        -122,227               0               0
Sales/Maturities of investments                        2,033               0               0          52,256               0               0
Purchases of intangibles                            -382,824            -146        -178,531        -227,664        -227,445         -40,068
Other investing activities                          -148,597          54,219         -33,175         -11,555         382,351       1,402,838
Net cash used for investing activities              -563,142         -34,739        -339,231        -322,611         148,782       1,357,778

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                       51,485,576      78,401,712      59,655,288      67,959,448      87,279,784      99,125,680
Debt repayment                                   -50,927,524     -77,425,464     -58,464,568     -68,061,472     -85,133,936     -96,876,784
Common stock repurchased                                   0               0          -8,599          -5,293          -1,056          -5,177
Dividend paid                                              0               0               0         -10,054          -9,708         -19,441
Other financing activities                           -18,840          -9,090         -20,947         -14,665          -6,092          -6,776
Net cash provided by (used for) financing            539,214         967,156       1,161,174        -132,034       2,128,995       2,217,507

Net change in cash                                    29,216          -6,105         -61,642         117,751          32,654         734,125
Cash at beginning of period                           76,256         105,472          99,367          38,173         155,924         144,913
Cash at end of period                                105,472          99,367          37,725         155,924         188,578         879,038

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                   53,144        -938,522        -883,585         572,396      -2,245,123      -2,841,160
Capital expenditure                                 -394,728         -30,535        -202,314        -258,529        -262,954         -81,803
Free cash flow                                      -341,584        -969,057      -1,085,899         313,867      -2,508,077      -2,922,963
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________



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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (PFSI)     PennyMac Financial Services Inc.

                               2015    2016    2017    2018    2019

          Annual Earnings:     2.19    2.94    4.03    2.59    4.89
Average Price During Year:    17.49   14.15   17.27   21.37   25.06

                P/E Ratio:     7.99    4.81    4.28    8.25    5.12

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =   6.09
             Current Price =  41.13

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.58    0.92    1.51    1.88    3.73

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   7.12
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     1.05
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Fair Value Estimator

Fair Value Estimate:

Fair Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates



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Research Reports

Click Here for Research Reports



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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 2



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Insider Activity

Insiders Chart Insider Trades
Insider Trades
Executive Compensation



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Institutional Activity

Institutional Ownership:

institutions 1
Mutual Fund Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

Click Here for Management's Discussion Excerpts



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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES:
Symbol? PFSI
Total Months Available:  86
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  33.46   22.75     39.57   29.93     43.14   13.14

RANGE   =  43.14  TO   13.14            Close =  40.24
CHANNEL =  33.46  TO   29.93           Degree =   1
Volatility =   8.77%                    Index =   0
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

8 out of 9 favorable, (positive opinion.)

Val Idea
Val Idea


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Stock Consultant

Stock Consultant Stock Consultant


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer



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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

2 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison - 1
Industry - 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow + 1
Average to Current P/E + 1
Ratios + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF - 1
Fair Value Estimator + 1
Projected Earnings - 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting - 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
MACD Histogram Divergence - 1
Val Idea + 1
Stock Consultant - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart + 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 3
Place 725 shares of Pennymac Financial Services, Inc. (PFSI) on the Active List.