10-25-2009: NVE Corporation (NVEC): Putting the Spin on Spintronics

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NVE Corporation

"NVE" in NVE Corporation stands for "non-volatile electronics." This refers to memories that retain information when power is removed. The company says its "enabling technology" utilizes electron spin rather than charge to acquire, store, and transmit information. The company manufactures sensors and couplers used to acquire and transmit data. Its "spintronic magnetoresistive random access memory technology" is licensed to others, commonly known as "MRAM." In 2006, the company brought out a number of optimistic statements for MRAM technology but was forced to admit the potential for this was less-than-anticipated causing the stock price to drop and a number of class-action lawsuits to be filed.

We penalized this stock rather heavily in our analysis because certain news releases suggested the company has not accurately reported executive salaries and stock option compensation (options which were not available to the general public.) We had to rely on information the company did release for some parts of our evaluation, but found it highly suspect.

This is yet another time Market Grader and Street.Com together (which both think highly of the stock) have led us down the garden path to violate some rule of selection due to our initial mistake in evaluation. This time is was average daily volume, which fell well below 300,000 shares, which means the stock is not very good for day trading. It tends to move in one direction for long periods of time favoring trend detection methods for trading over longer time periods.

The stock has a ver high Zenith Index suggesting that it has strong fundamentals, which is what Market Grader and Street.Com undoubtedly saw. Again, however, we have to rely on what the company itself reports. When one area becomes suspect, all become suspect. The stock has taken a bit of a hit recently, and we sought to find out why. (Negative chart patterns really hurt the overall rating.) Frankly, we could find no very good reason and projected earnings for next year are much higher. Second quarter results did fall short of analysts' expectations, and there weren't very many analysts involved. But perhaps more significantly, a share decline was touched off when the CFO began selling stock in the company with timing grade "A." The company does have a high corporate governance rating based upon who is on the Board of Directors, i.e. appear to be fairly independent.

We believe the recent downturn in the company's stock has made it favorable relative to others in the electronic semiconductor industry, although Cramer warns, do not rely on others in the same industry group to carry a less-well performing stock higher.



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NVE Corp.                        (NVEC )    Sector: Technology
11409 Valley View Road           Industry: Semiconductor - Specialized
Eden Prairie, MN 55344           Exchange: Nasdaq

NVE Corporation engages in the development and sale of devices that
use spintronics, a nanotechnology that relies on electron spin
rather than electron charge to acquire, store, and transmit
information. It provides standard sensors that detect the presence
of a magnet or metal to determine position or speed; and custom
sensors primarily for medical devices to replace electromechanical
magnetic switches. The company also offers spintronic couplers,
including IL600-Series passive-input couplers; IL700/IL200-Series
digital-input couplers; IL500-Series couplers; and
IL400/IL3000-Series isolated network signal couplers. In addition,
it licenses the spintronic magnetoresistive random access memory
technology, as well as provides contract research and development
services. NVE Corporation sells its products through distributors
primarily in the United States, Europe, and Asia. The company was
founded in 1982 and is based in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Last Trade:  42.38                     52-Week Range:  63.64 -  16.56
Trade Date:  10-25                     Avg. Volume:     99,997 Shares
Index Membership: N/A                              Employees:      50

Corporate Governance:
NVE Corp.'s Corporate Governance Quotient (CGQ-«) as of 1-Oct-09 is
better than 89.2% of Russell 3000 companies and 79.7% of
Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment companies.

     EPS:   2.32     Dividend Amount: $  0.00       Yield:         0.00%
                    Ex-Dividend Date: N/A         Mkt Cap: $    198,420K
                        Payout Ratio:  0.00%

     Last Split Factor (new for old): 1:5      Split Date: 22-Nov-02

Key Statistics:

Enterprise Value: $    194,970K           Revenue (ttm)  : $     26,120K
                                             Gross Profit: $     16,650K
Earnings before Income Tax, Depreciation and Amortization: $     15,680K

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm):  7.46           Revenue per Share: $    5.59
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm):  12.44       Qtrly Rev Growth (y to y): 13.60%


P/E Ratio (fwd projected):  0.00      P/E Ratio (current):  18.24

P/E Growth Ratio (5 yr expected):  0.72  Operating Margin:   58.36%
               Price/Sales Ratio:  8.03     Profit Margin:   42.92%
                Price/Book Value:  4.46        Book Value: $  9.74/sh.

Return on Assets:  21.80%        Net Income Avl to Common: $    11,210K
Return on Equity:  26.30%          Diluted Earnings/Share:     $  2.32
                              Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):       17.10%

Balance Sheet Items :                   Cash Flow Items (ttm):
(most recent qrtr)                      (trailing 12 mo.)

       Total Cash: $      4,240K        Operating Cash Flow:$     11,960K
       Total Debt: $          0K        Lvgd Free Cash Flow:$     10,470K
Total Debt/Equity:         0.00
 Total Cash/Share:      $  0.90
    Current Ratio:         8.94

Share Statistics:                       Stock Price History:

    Shares Outstanding:    4,680K       Stk 52-Week Change:  73.90%
                 Float:    4,690K       S&P 500 52-Wk Chng:  23.13%
  Sh. Short % of Float:     4.00%        50-Day Moving Avg:  53.13
           Short Ratio:     1.50        200-Day Moving Avg:  46.77
% Held by Institutions:    59.90%                     Beta:   0.96
    % Held by Insiders:     0.41%

Analysts' Estimates:               Cur. Qtr   Next Qtr  Cur. Year  Next Year
___________________________          Sep-09     Dec-09     Mar-10     Mar-11

  Average Earnings Estimate           0.57       0.54       2.40       0.00
  Average Revenue  Estimate             6M         6M        27M        31M

Factors Comparing This Company to Its Industry Leader (1.0 = Average):

Long Term EPS Growth Rate (5 yr): 0.000          EPS Growth (Qrtly YoY): 0.061
  PEG Ratio (ttm, 5 yr expected): 0.020                 P/E Ratio (ttm): 0.168
      Revenue Growth (Qrtly YoY): 0.089


Annual Income Statements:                          All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          31-Mar-09    31-Mar-08    31-Mar-07

  Total Revenue                             23,372       20,529       16,461
  Cost of Revenue                            6,724        6,833        5,788
  Gross Profit                              16,648       13,696       10,673

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                     1,219        1,488        2,177
  Selling, General & Administrative          2,178        2,159        1,951
  Non-Recurring Expenses                         0            0            0
  Other Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Total Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Operating Income or Loss                  13,252       10,049        6,546

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net            1,176        1,031          647
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes          14,428       11,080        7,192
  Interest Expense                               0            0            1
  Income Before Taxes                       14,428       11,080        7,192
  Income Tax Expense                         4,645        3,893        2,411
  Minority Interest                              0            0            0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s            9,783        7,187        4,781

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                        0            0            0
  Extraordinary Items                            0            0            0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                   0            0            0
  Other Items                                    0            0            0
  Net Income                                 9,783        7,187        4,781

  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustmnts            0            0            0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shares          9,783        7,187        4,781


Quarterly Income Statements:                           All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                    30-Jun-09   31-Mar-09   31-Dec-08   30-Sep-08

  Total Revenue                        6,835       6,897       5,884       5,728
  Cost of Revenue                      1,891       1,806       1,763       1,748
  Gross Profit                         4,943       5,090       4,121       3,980

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                 267         293         259         281
  Selling, General & Adminis.            636         554         509         585
  Non-Recurring Expenses                   0           0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Operating Income or Loss             4,040       4,244       3,353       3,114

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net        370         333         308         277
  Earnings Before Int. & Taxes         4,410       4,577       3,661       3,391
  Interest Expense                         0           0           0           0
  Income Before Taxes                  4,410       4,577       3,661       3,391
  Income Tax Expense                   1,471       1,466       1,192       1,091
  Minority Interest                        0           0           0           0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s      2,939       3,111       2,468       2,300

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                  0           0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                      0           0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes             0           0           0           0
  Other Items                              0           0           0           0
  Net Income                           2,939       3,111       2,468       2,300

  Preferred Stock & Other Adj.s            0           0           0           0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shs       2,939       3,111       2,468       2,300


Annual Balance Sheets:                                All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                        31-Mar-09      31-Mar-08      31-Mar-07
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                  1,875          1,886            397
  Short Term Investments                       0            796            982
  Net Receivables                          4,034          3,679          3,333
  Inventory                                2,248          2,457          2,017
  Other Current Assets                       669            530            334
  Total Current Assets                     8,826          9,347          7,063

  Long-Term Investments                   32,447         22,055         16,909
  Property, Plant & Equipt                 1,293          1,365          1,038
  Goodwill                                     0              0              0
  Intangible Assets                            0              0              0
  Accumulated Amortization                     0              0              0
  Other Assets                                 0              0              0
  Deferred Long Term Asset Charges             0              0              0
  Total Assets                            42,566         32,768         25,010

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                           895          1,067          1,093
  Short/Current Long Term Debt                 0              0              0
  Other Current Liabilities                  104            188             29
  Total Current Liabilities                  999          1,255          1,122

  Long Term Debt                               0              0              0
  Other Liabilities                            0              0              0
  Deferred LT Liability Charges                0              0              0
  Minority Interest                            0              0              0
  Negative Goodwill                            0              0              0
  Total Liabilities                          999          1,255          1,122

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Stocks Options Warrants                0              0              0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock                   0              0              0
  Preferred Stock                              0              0              0
  Common Stock                                47             46             46
  Retained Earnings                       22,607         12,824          5,637
  Treasury Stock                               0              0              0
  Capital Surplus                         19,167         18,540         18,289
  Other Stockholder Equity                  -253            103            -84
  Total Stockholder Equity                41,568         31,513         23,888
  Net Tangible Assets                     41,568         31,513         23,888


Quarterly Balance Sheets:                               All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                 30-Jun-09    31-Mar-09    31-Dec-08    30-Sep-08
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents          1,252        1,875        2,438        1,719
  Short Term Investments              751            0          499        1,285
  Net Receivables                   3,275        4,034        3,209        3,600
  Inventory                         2,068        2,248        2,462        2,443
  Other Current Assets                712          669          615          513
  Total Current Assets              8,057        8,826        9,222        9,562

  Long-Term Investments            38,616       32,447       29,179       26,036
  Property, Plant & Equipt         1,238        1,293        1,422        1,258
  Goodwill                              0            0            0            0
  Intangible Assets                     0            0            0            0
  Accumulated Amortization              0            0            0            0
  Other Assets                          0            0            0            0
  Deferred LT Asset Charges            83          104          125          146
  Total Assets                     47,912       42,566       39,823       36,856

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                  2,235          895        1,018          897
  Current Portion LT Debt               0            0            0            0
  Other Current Liabilities             0            0            0            0
  Total Current Liabilities         2,318          999        1,143        1,042

  Long Term Debt                        0            0            0            0
  Other Liabilities                     0            0            0            0
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges             0            0            0            0
  Minority Interest                     0            0            0            0
  Negative Goodwill                     0            0            0            0
  Total Liabilities                 2,318          999        1,143        1,042

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, WarrantS               0            0            0            0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock            0            0            0            0
  Preferred Stock                       0            0            0            0
  Common Stock                         47           47           47           47
  Retained Earnings                25,546       22,607       19,496       17,027
  Treasury Stock                        0            0            0            0
  Capital Surplus                  19,442       19,167       19,101       19,095
  Other Stockholder Equity            559         -253           37         -356
  Total Stockholder Equity         45,594       41,568       38,681       35,813
  Net Tangible Assets              45,594       41,568       38,681       35,813


Annual Cash Flow:                                    All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                       31-Mar-09      31-Mar-08      31-Mar-07

  Net Income                              9,783          3,111          4,781
Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                              474            561            530
  Adjustments to Net Income                  68            886            342
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls             -141         -1,221           -338
  Changes in Liabilities                   -256            132            175
  Changes in Inventories                    209           -440            133
  Changes in Other Op'ing Actv's              0           -196           -102
  Total Cash Flow fr Operations           9,998          6,909          5,520

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                     -402           -818           -322
  Investments                           -10,152         -4,685         -8,167
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing               0              2              0
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing         -10,550         -5,502         -8,488

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                              0              0              0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock                 270             47             26
  Net Borrowings                              0              0            -33
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing             270             34          2,084
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing             541             81          2,077

  Effect of Exchange Rate Change              0              0              0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.s             -11          1,488           -891


Quarterly Cash Flow:                                   All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                   30-Jun-09   31-Mar-09   31-Dec-08   30-Sep-08

  Net Income                          2,939       3,111       2,468       2,300

Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                           91         130         119          60
  Adjustments to Net Income              12          10           4          66
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls          294        -667         169        -817
  Changes in Liabilities              1,319        -144         100        -633
  Changes in Inventories                180         214         -19          89
  Changes in Other Oper'g Acts          -42         -55        -101          72
  Total Cash Flow f Operations        4,792       2,600       2,740       1,138

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                  -36          -1        -283         -77
  Investments                        -5,649      -3,222      -1,739      -1,212
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing           0           0           1           0
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing      -5,685      -3,223      -2,021      -1,289

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                          0           0           0           0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock             153          26           0          32
  Net Borrowings                          0           0           0           0
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing         117          34           0           0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing         270          60           0          32

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg             0           0           0           0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.         -624        -563         719        -119


NVEC   NVE Corp.                          [Indices near +3.0 or near zero,
                                          or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    1.5351       P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  0.1600       Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    0.0000

Sales Tests:
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   0.2864       Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.5198
Sales < $1 billion?        3.0000       Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.1285

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.0000       Long-Term Debt Service:    3.0000
LTD Being Reduced?         1.0000       Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         3.0000       Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.5754
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      3.0000       Debt / Assets < 1?         1.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           1.9530       Inventory Turnover > 1?    2.2901
Shares Out Decreasing?     0.6000       Market Cap.> 1.5 Billion?  3.0000
                                        Profit Margin > 7.5%?      3.0000
Income Tests:
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000       EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0000
Enterprise Value/Revenue:  3.0000       EPS 5-yr Growth > 20%?     0.0000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   1.7767       EPS Growth Consistent?     2.4000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    1.7100       Collection < 45 days?      0.7143
Rev. Qtrly Growth > 15%?   2.0400       Gross Pft/Cur. LTD < 1?    3.0000
EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0000       Borrowing Int. Rate< 6%?   1.0000

Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          3.0000       % Held by Insiders  < 5%?  3.0000
Beta > 1.25?               0.7680       % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.8347
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.4502       % Held by Institut. > 30?  1.9967
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  1.5421       Short Ratio > 5?           0.3000
Price/Book Value < 3?     -0.4600       Short % of Float > 20?     0.2000
Return on Assets > 17%?    1.2824       Average Volume > 100,000?  1.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.1423       Positive Free Cash Flow?   1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  1.0000       Price to C.F./sh. Ratio:   1.3537
                                        Cash Flow / Assets >.10?   2.1853

NVEC    NVE Corp.                       Overall Zenith Index:      1.4752


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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for NVE Corporation:
Symbol? NVEC
Total Months Available:  81
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  34.00   16.56     47.90   26.20     63.64   40.00

RANGE   =  63.64  TO   16.56            Close =  43.44
CHANNEL =  40.00  TO   34.00           Degree =   1
Volatility =  13.81%                    Index =   1
Channel Chart


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20 Days:

1 Day:

The following table details which MACD signals on the preceding chart are best taken.
Originally, this was set up for a two-day span, but ten days gives a better sample.
Unfortunately, with the 10-day span, the colored lines on the histogram are much
harder to read.  Both spans are shown above.  Red turning into green on the histogram
is a buy and green turning into red is a sell, but with the following conditions.  The
share price must have moved at least 0.2% away from the previous signal price in order
to avoid whipsawing.  More importantly, the +/- magnitude of the MACD (the blue line,
which crosses the red line at signal time) must be greater than the minimum required
magnitude indicated below.  Otherwise, the signal is ignored.  This system does not work
at all on NVE Corporation, so beware of using oscillator indicators.

NVEC   Minimum Magnitude MACD for Action = ± 0.0600

Ticker Day   Time     Hist.      MACD  Sig Line  Act    Price   Profit

NVEC   23   13:00    0.0040    0.0430    0.0389         42.38     0.00


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The corresponding trades for the above chart are shown in tabular form below.



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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
GAAP vs. non-GAAP Earnings < 1%+ 1
Cash Flow + 1
Ratios + 1
Market Grader + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Intrinsic Value DDM + 1
Stock Scout + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports + 1
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting - 1
Short Interest + 1
Sentiment - 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
Moving Average - 1
Stock Fetcher + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options - 1
Ultimate Trading Systems - 1
Total + 8
Place 790 shares of NVE Corporation (NVEC) on the Active List.