07-24-2020: Invesco Limited (IVZ): Low Cost Index Funds Attract Investors

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Recommendation

Invesco Limited

Back in the days when small traders were first introduced to the end of fixed commissions on stocks, "no load mutual funds" were a way with less leverage and total cost risk to trade markets with a diversified list of stocks. Invesco Ltd. (IVZ) had plenty of these. Today, exchange traded funds (ETF's) compete with mutual funds and offer advantages such as ability to place stop orders on them. Invesco has plenty of those, as well. Index funds holding baskets of stocks that trade the entire market or the S&P 500 Index still have fees called "expense ratios." No load EFT's and funds don't charge commissions or management or redemption penalties, but still have small expenses, some as small as an annual 0.03%. Invesco's are typically larger than that.

Invesco is Atlanta-based, but also does a lot of business in Britain with another head office in the Cayman Islands. Trading Invesco stock is nothing like trading Invesco ETF's, and does not necessarily reflect the general market. Invesco has been among the worst performers of all ETF's and funds, if not THE worst, but this should not affect ability to trade the ETF's in either direction, sort of like an index commodity.

Like so many other stocks, IVZ was hit hard by the pandemic. One reason for this was extreme market volatility causing many investors to pull out and await stabler less risky times. We think its relation to Oppenheimer Funds both by acquisition and hiring of former managers is another cause of problematic competing with other managed funds, as in our opinion, OPpenheimer has some of the worst of all possible funds and is very poorly managed. It is the complete opposite to better investments offered by organizations like Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) which is more concerned with value stocks.

The stock has been paying what Cramer refers to as an "accidental dividend" of nearly 6%, but this is not sustainable because the payout exceeds income.

The stock has a very low p/e ratio because the share price was dragged down so much by poor performance. This bodes well for at least a partial recovery.

There is considerable positive insider buying in the stock.

All in all, we think there is a very good chance for this stock to push higher, with less downside risk than other financial management stocks because the stock has been hit so hard already.



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is considered strong and
> 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

IVZ   Invesco Ltd.
   Exchange: NYSE       Group: Investment Manage   Industry: Financial
   Rank of Industry:   7                   Rank within Industry: 18 out of 251

      Shares Out:  458.89 (mil.)   Market Capitalization:$  4,813.81 (mil.)
      Sales (12 mo.): $  6,117.00 (mil.)              Sales Growth:  31.64%
      Avg Broker Recommend (1=Strong Buy): 3.31   Consensus Target:  10.70
      Dividend:$ 0.62   Yield: 5.91%  Payout Ratio: 0.53  Payout Chg:  0.00%

      Headquartered in Atlanta, GA, Invesco Ltd., GÇô formerly AMVESCAP PLC GÇô
      operates as an independent investment manager and offers a wide range of
      investment products and services. The company was incepted in 1935. As
      of Mar 31, 2020, Invesco had offices in more than 20 countries and AUM
      With the support of a global operating platform, Invesco distributes a
      broad range of investment products and services. InvescoGÇÖs asset classes
      Headquartered in Atlanta, GA, Invesco Ltd., GÇô formerly AMVESCAP PLC GÇô
      operates as an independent investment manager and offers a wide range of
      investment products and services. The company was incepted in 1935. As
      of Mar 31, 2020, Invesco had offices in more than 20 countries and AUM
      With the support of a global operating platform, Invesco distributes a
      broad range of investment products and services. InvescoGÇÖs asset classes

   Recent Price:  10.49     52-Week High:  20.33     52-Week Low:   6.38


   20-Day Avg. Daily Volume =  6,918,599                    Beta:   1.48

Earnings per Share (EPS) Estimates:

                        This        Next        This        Next
                       Quarter     Quarter      Year        Year
                      06/2020     09/2020     12/2020     12/2021

    Average Estimate      0.45        0.47        1.74        1.88
 Number of Estimates         6           5           7           7
        Low Estimate      0.32        0.36        1.36        1.45
       High Estimate      0.47        0.47        1.74        1.88
        Year Ago EPS      0.65        0.70        2.55        1.59
          EPS Growth    -35.38%     -40.00%     -37.65%       7.09%

P/E Ratio Related Data:                                    EPS       Sales
  Current FY Estimate:   4.50                              Growth    Growth
   Trailing 12 Months:   6.58       vs. Previous Quarter:  -46.88%    -8.26%
     P/E Growth Ratio:   1.11          vs. Previous Year:  -39.29%    31.64%

Price/Sales Ratio:  0.74    Price/Book Ratio:  0.48    Price/Cash Flow:  3.34

Other Fundamental Data:
                         06/30/20     03/31/20      12/31/19
Return on Investment         0.00        11.04         12.00
Return on Assets             0.00         2.92          3.21
Current Ratio                0.00         1.71          1.62
Quick Ratio                  1.71         1.71          1.62
Operating Margin             0.00        17.19         19.40
Net Margin                   0.00         8.12         10.20
Pre-Tax Margin               0.00         0.00          0.00
Book Value                   0.00         0.00          0.00
Inventory Turnover           0.00         0.00          0.00
Debt-to-Equity Ratio         0.00         0.88          0.81
Debt-to-Capital Ratio        0.00        39.06         37.79

Reported and Estimated Quarterly Earnings:
Reported                                03/2020   12/2019   09/2019   06/2019
                                           0.34      0.64      0.70      0.65
Estimated                              06/2020   09/2020   12/2020   12/2021
  Consensus 7 Days Ago                     0.42      0.42      1.60      1.72
  Upward Revisions                            1         0         1         1
  Downward Revisions                          0         1         1         1
  Consensus 30 Days Ago                    0.37      0.40      1.50      1.63
  Upward Revisions                            5         3         4         3
  Downward Revisions                          0         1         1         2

Annual Income Statements ($mil except EPS data):

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Sales                               6117.00  5314.00  5160.00  4734.00  5123.00
Cost of Goods                       1893.00  1608.00  1487.00  1407.00  1580.00
Gross Profit                        4224.00  3706.00  3674.00  3327.00  3543.00
Selling, Deprec, Amort Expense      3416.00  2501.00  2397.00  2151.00  2185.00
Income After Deprec + Amortization   808.00  1205.00  1277.00  1176.00  1358.00
Non-Operating Income                 300.00    45.00   247.00   124.00   274.00
Interest Expense                     136.00   112.00    95.00    93.00   271.00
Pretax Income                        973.00  1138.00  1429.00  1207.00  1362.00
Income Taxes                         235.00   255.00   268.00   338.00   398.00
Minority Interest                     50.00     0.00    34.00    14.00    -4.00
Investment Gains/Losses                0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Income/Charges                   0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Income from Continuing Operations    738.00   883.00  1161.00   868.00   964.00
Extras + Discontined Operations        0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Net Income                             0.00   883.00     0.00     1.00   854.00
Income before Depr. + Amortization   986.00  1347.00  1394.00  1278.00  1452.00
Depreciation + Amort. (Cash Flow)    384.00   396.00   243.00   284.00   167.00
Average Shares                       440.50   412.50   409.90   415.00   428.36
Diluted EPS bf Non-Recurring Items     2.55     2.43     2.70     2.23     2.44
Diluted Net EPS                        1.28     2.14     2.75     2.06     2.26


Balance Sheets ($mil. except per share data):

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15
Assets:

Cash + Equivalents                     0.00     1.00     1.00     2.00     2.00
Receivables                         1191.00   906.00  1548.00  1323.00  1268.00
Notes Receivable                    8638.00 17598.00  6333.00  5911.00  7035.00
Inventories                            0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Current Assets               10980.00   127.00 12569.00  8341.00  6492.00
Total Current Assets               22510.00 20437.00 22967.00 17646.00 17010.00
Property, Plant & Equipment          584.00   469.00   491.00   465.00   427.00
Investments + Advances                 0.00   614.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Non-Current Assets               0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Deferred Charges                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Intangibles                        15868.00  9333.00  8149.00  7529.00  7530.00
Deposits + Other Assets              460.00   126.00    62.00    95.00   107.00
Total Assets                           0.00    39.00    30.00    31.00    25.00

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15
Liabilities:

Notes Payable                          0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Accounts Payable                   12894.00 12651.00 14124.00  9696.00  7477.00
Current Portion Long-Term Debt         0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Current Portion Capital Leases         0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Accrued Expenses                    1031.00   647.00   696.00   654.00   661.00
Income Taxes Payable                   0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Current Liabilities              0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Total Current Liabilities          13925.00 13297.00 14820.00 10350.00  8138.00
Mortgages                              0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Deferred Income Taxes               1530.00   326.00   276.00   310.00   289.00
Convertible Debt                       0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Long-Term Debt                      8315.00  7635.00  6876.00  6506.00  7510.00
Non-Current Capital Leases             0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Non-Current Liabilities        950.00   388.00   499.00   673.00   274.00
Minority Interest                      0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Total Liabilities                      0.00    25.00    22.00    22.00    18.00

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15
Shareholder Equity:

Preferred Stock                     4011.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Common Sock                          113.00    98.00    98.00    98.00    98.00
Capital Surplus                     7861.00  6335.00  6282.00  6227.00  6198.00
Retained Earnings                   5918.00  5885.00  5489.00  4833.00  4440.00
Other Equity                        -132.00  -378.00  -132.00  -701.00   364.00
Treasury Stock                      3453.00  3004.00  2782.00  2846.00  2404.00
Total Shareholder Equity           10308.00  8936.00  8956.00  7612.00  8696.00
Total Liabilities+ Owners' Equity  39420.00 30978.00 31669.00 25734.00 25073.00
Total Common Equity                    0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Shares Outstanding                   453.30   397.10   407.10   408.50   417.50
Book Value per Share                   0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00



Cash Flow Statement:

    Operations, Investments, & Financial Activities

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Net Income                             0.00   737.80   883.10     1.00   868.30
Depreciation/Amortization + Deplet   177.60   142.10   116.80   101.20    93.60
Net Change in Assets/Liab.           -28.00  -393.80   -95.00  -984.90   -18.40
Net Cash f Discontinued Operations     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Operating Activities           229.20   197.40   187.90   144.70    14.20
Net Cash f Operating Activities        0.00     1.00   828.80     1.00   129.30
Property + Equipment                -124.30  -102.50  -111.70  -147.70  -124.50
Acquisition/Disp. of Subsidiaries    290.50 -1469.30  -299.20  -121.90     0.00
Investments                        -1617.60 -1263.10  -550.20  -721.00  -540.30
Other Investing Activity              26.00   -63.80     0.00     0.00     0.00
Net Cash from Investing            -1425.40 -2898.70  -961.10  -990.60  -664.80

    Use of Funds

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Issue (Repurchase) Capital Stock    -469.80   -51.80   -63.80  -535.00  -545.10
Issuance (Repayment) of Debt        1529.20  1418.40   402.30  1156.40  1014.20
Increase/Decrease Short-Term Debt   -330.80   330.80   -28.70    28.70     0.00
Dividends + Distributions              0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00
Other Financing Acitivies            125.40   333.20   330.80   280.40     8.70
Net Cash from Financing              201.30  1540.00   169.00   470.10    23.30
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes        3.30  -182.40    99.80  -132.20   -74.80

Net Change in Cash + Equivalents    -104.20  -712.30   678.40  -523.40   337.20

    Net Change in Cash & Equivalents

                                   12/31/19 12/31/18 12/31/17 12/31/16 12/31/15

Cash at Beginning of Per.           1805.40  2517.70  1328.00  1851.40  1514.20
Cash at End of Period               1701.20  1805.40  2006.40  1328.00  1851.40
Net Change in Cash + Equivalents    -104.20  -712.30   678.40  -523.40   337.20


Zenith Indices:                      [Indices near +3.0, or near zero,
                                     or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000     P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate: -3.0000     Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000

Sales Tests:
Sales < $500 mil.?         0.0941     Sales incr. 25% Yearly?    1.2656
Sales > $340 million?      3.0000     Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.0000

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity Ratio < 0.40?  0.4545     LTD/Net Assets:            0.0051
Debt Reduction:            0.8521     Intangibles/Assets < 10%?  0.0004
Current Ratio > 2?         1.7100     Return on Equity > 9.8%?   1.1265

Earnings Tests:
EPS 5-Yr. Growth > 18%?    0.2950     Operating Margin > 5%?     0.2909
EPS Annual Growth > 0%?   -3.0000     Dividend Rate cp 2.7%:     2.1889
Earnings Consistent?       1.0000     Payout Ratio Decreasing?   0.0883
Net Income Increasing 25%? 0.0000     Price<15% below 52-wk Hi?  0.5934
Positive Cash Flow?        0.8998     Price/Book X PE < 22?      3.0000
Profit Margin > 7.5%?      1.0827     Price/Book < 1.6?          3.0000
Profit Margin Increasing?  0.7961     Stock Compared to S+P 500: 3.0000

Price & Float Tests:
Return on Investment>12%?  0.6494     Shares Out > 50 mil.?      3.0000
Return on Assets > 10%?    0.2675     Beta > 1.25?:              1.4800
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   1.2000     Liquidity > 2%?            3.0000

Ownership Tests:
Analyst Following > 2.0?   0.9063     Market Capital'n > 300M?   3.0000
Owner's Equity Increasing? 1.0276     Shares Out Decreasing?     1.0514

IVZ                                    Overall Zenith Index:     1.2439


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Financial Statements

INVESCO LTD  (IVZ)                          INCOME STATEMENT

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Revenue                                            5,122,900       4,734,400       5,160,300       5,314,100       6,117,400       6,501,700
Cost of revenue                                    1,395,500       1,378,800       1,537,400       1,494,400       1,709,300       1,749,900
Gross profit                                       3,727,400       3,355,600       3,622,900       3,819,700       4,408,100       4,751,800


Operating expenses
Sales, General and administrative                  2,369,000       2,179,200       2,345,800       2,477,900       2,926,900       3,124,400
Restructuring, merger and acquisition                      0               0               0         136,000         680,800         710,200
Other operating expenses                                   0               0               0        -136,000        -680,800        -710,200
Total operating expenses                           2,369,000       2,179,200       2,345,800       2,477,900       2,926,900       3,124,400

Operating income                                   1,358,400       1,176,400       1,277,100       1,341,800       1,481,200       1,627,400
Interest Expense                                     270,600          93,400          94,800         111,500         135,700         138,900
Other income (expense)                               274,300         123,600         246,900         -92,200        -372,600        -595,000
Income before taxes                                1,362,100       1,206,600       1,429,200       1,138,100         972,900         893,500
Provision for income taxes                           398,000         338,300         268,200         255,000         235,100         226,300
Net income from continuing operations                964,100         868,300       1,161,000         883,100         737,800         667,200
Other                                                  4,000         -14,100         -33,700            -300         -49,500         -15,900
Net income                                           968,100         854,200       1,127,300         882,800         688,300         651,300
Preferred dividend                                    24,600          24,800          33,700          26,900         123,600         182,800
Net income available to common shareholders          943,500         829,400       1,093,600         855,900         564,700         468,500

Earnings per share
Basic                                                   2.26            2.06            2.75            2.14            1.29            1.03 
Diluted                                                 2.26            2.06            2.75            2.14            1.28            1.02 

Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic                                                418,000         402,600         397,200         399,800         437,800         451,325
Diluted                                              418,400         402,900         397,700         399,900         440,500         454,750

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


INVESCO LTD  (IVZ)                          BALANCE SHEET

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             

Assets

Current assets

Cash

Short-term investments                               319,100               0               0               0               0
Total cash                                         2,533,800       2,070,200       2,517,700       1,805,400       1,701,200

Receivables                                          701,600         650,400         754,000         714,800       1,028,500
Prepaid expenses                                   6,172,700       8,341,100      12,568,900      11,511,900         144,000
Other current assets                                 566,300         672,900         793,800         191,300         162,700
Total current assets                               9,974,400      11,734,600      16,634,400      14,223,400       3,036,400

Non-current assets

Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment                1,030,000       1,105,800       1,219,600       1,273,500       1,502,700
Accumulated Depreciation                            -603,100        -641,100        -728,900        -804,800        -919,200
Net property, plant and equipment                    426,900         464,700         490,700         468,700         583,500

Equity and other investments                       7,035,200       5,911,400       6,332,600       6,827,000       8,637,500
Goodwill                                           6,175,700       6,129,200       6,590,700       7,157,100       8,509,400
Intangible assets                                  1,354,100       1,399,400       1,558,700       2,176,100       7,358,300
Other long-term assets                               106,900          95,000          61,700         126,100      11,295,200
Total non-current assets                          15,098,800      13,999,700      15,034,400      16,755,000      36,383,900

Total assets                                      25,073,200      25,734,300      31,668,800      30,978,400      39,420,300 

Liabilities and stockholders' equity

Liabilities

Current liabilities
Accounts payable                                     302,600         274,300         320,100         284,300         414,600
Taxes payable                                         78,800          91,600         155,500          43,200         118,200
Accrued liabilities                                  328,600         280,600         302,300         360,400         403,900
Other current liabilities                          7,343,900       9,625,500      13,984,800      12,568,400      12,562,800
Total current liabilities                          8,053,900      10,272,000      14,762,700      13,256,300      13,499,500

Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt                                     7,509,800       6,505,500       6,875,600       7,634,800       8,314,900
Capital leases                                             0               0               0               0         364,800
Deferred taxes liabilities                           288,900         309,700         275,500         326,400       1,529,500
Minority interest                                    810,400         108,000         259,500         357,400         455,800
Other long-term liabilities                          524,900       1,035,300         799,400         824,700       1,393,300
Total non-current liabilities                      9,134,000       7,958,500       8,210,000       9,143,300      12,058,300

Total liabilities                                 17,187,900      18,230,500      22,972,700      22,399,600      25,557,800 

Stockholders' equity

Preferred stock                                            0               0               0               0       4,010,500
Common stock                                          98,100          98,100          98,100          98,100         113,200
Additional paid-in capital                         6,197,700       6,227,400       6,282,000       6,334,800       7,860,800
Retained earnings                                  4,439,600       4,833,400       5,489,100       5,884,500       5,917,800
Treasury stock                                    -2,404,100      -2,845,800      -2,781,900      -3,003,600      -3,452,500
Accumulated other comprehensive income              -446,000        -809,300        -391,200        -735,000        -587,300
Total stockholders' equity                         7,885,300       7,503,800       8,696,100       8,578,800      13,862,500
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity        25,073,200      25,734,300      31,668,800      30,978,400      39,420,300

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


INVESCO LTD  (IVZ)                          Statement of CASH FLOW

Fiscal year ends in December. USD in thousand        2015-12         2016-12         2017-12         2018-12         2019-12             TTM           

Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income                                           964,100         868,300       1,161,000         883,100         737,800         667,200
Depreciation & amortization                           93,600         101,200         116,800         142,100         177,600         189,700
Stock based compensation                             150,300         159,700         175,300         172,400         207,500         205,100
Change in working capital                           -177,400        -490,700         422,400         -53,100         185,400         -19,400
Other working capital                               -177,400        -490,700         422,400         -53,100         185,400         -19,400
Other non-cash items                                  22,900        -509,200        -504,800        -315,700        -191,700         117,400
Net cash provided by operating activities          1,053,500         129,300       1,370,700         828,800       1,116,600       1,160,000

Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Investments in property, plant, and equipmen        -124,500        -147,700        -111,700        -102,500        -124,300        -122,400
Acquisitions, net                                          0        -121,900        -299,200      -1,469,300         290,500               0
Purchases of investments                          -4,820,900      -3,864,900      -5,886,800      -4,641,800      -5,473,900      -6,280,600
Sales/Maturities of investments                    4,230,100       3,105,300       5,203,800       3,333,200       3,778,200       4,593,200
Other investing activities                            50,500          38,600         132,800         -18,300         104,100         265,800
Net cash used for investing activities              -664,800        -990,600        -961,100      -2,898,700      -1,425,400      -1,544,000

Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Debt issued                                        2,587,300       1,327,900       2,812,400       2,463,800       3,348,800       4,321,400
Debt repayment                                    -1,573,100        -142,800      -2,438,800        -714,600      -2,150,400      -2,608,100
Common stock repurchased                            -548,800        -535,000         -63,800         -51,800        -469,800        -422,700
Dividend paid                                       -454,500        -460,400        -471,600        -490,600        -652,700        -732,700
Other financing activities                            12,400         280,400         330,800         333,200         125,400        -173,300
Net cash provided by (used for) financing             23,300         470,100         169,000       1,540,000         201,300         384,600

Effect of exchange rate changes                      -74,800        -132,200          99,800         -44,800          10,700         -31,600
Net change in cash                                   337,200        -523,400         678,400        -574,700         -96,800         -31,000
Cash at beginning of period                        1,514,200       1,851,400       1,328,000       2,517,700       1,805,400       1,268,300
Cash at end of period                              1,851,400       1,328,000       2,006,400       1,943,000       1,708,600       1,237,300

Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow                                1,053,500         129,300       1,370,700         828,800       1,116,600       1,160,000
Capital expenditure                                 -124,500        -147,700        -111,700        -102,500        -124,300        -122,400
Free cash flow                                       929,000         -18,400       1,259,000         726,300         992,300       1,037,600
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________



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Average to Current P/E Ratios
              (IVZ)     INVESCO Ltd.

                               2015    2016    2017    2018    2019

          Annual Earnings:     2.26    2.06    2.75    2.14    1.28
Average Price During Year:    37.23   30.13   33.08   28.12   18.47

                P/E Ratio:    16.47   14.63   12.03   13.14   14.43

 Average 5-Year P/E Ratio  =  14.14
             Current Price =  10.74

Previous 5 Quarter Earnings:   0.44    0.09    0.36    0.39    0.18

          Current Annualized (Last Four Quarters) Earnings =   0.93
                                                           ________
                                 Average PE / Current PE =     1.22
                                                           --------

                                      ...a number above 1.00 is good
                                                1.00 or below is bad


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Financial Ratios

. . . . . . . . . . . . Lowest to Highest, Compared to Industry



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Intrinsic Value (DCF)

Intrinsic Value by Discounted Cash Flow Method:

Intrinsic Value



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Fair Value Estimator

Fair Value Estimate:

Fair Value



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Projected Earnings

Earnings Estimates



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Research Reports

Click Here for Research Reports



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Analysts' Opinions

Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 1
Analysts' Opinion 2



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Insider Activity

Insiders Chart Insider Trades
Insider Trades
Executive Compensation



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Institutional Activity

Institutional Ownership:

institutions 1
Mutual Fund Ownership:

institutions 2


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Sentiment

sentiment

Zenith uses the "sentiment" score above or below 50 to award a positive or negative point in the Decision Matrix.

sentiment sentiment sentiment



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Short Interest Ratio

As the short interest rises as a percentage of average daily share volume (Days to Cover), this is considered a measure of negative sentiment. Similarly, a decrease in that percentage is considered positive sentiment.

short interest short interest


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Standard & Poor's

S&P Stock Report (Requires Adobe Acrobat Reader)



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Management's Discussion of Results of Operations Excerpts

Click Here for Management's Discussion Excerpts



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Channeling Potential

 
The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for INVESCO LTD.:
Symbol? IVZ
Total Months Available:  25
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  20.33   15.15     19.01    8.17     11.77    6.38

RANGE   =  20.33  TO    6.38            Close =  10.29
CHANNEL =  15.15  TO   11.77           Degree =   2
Volatility =  32.85%                    Index =   6
Channel Chart



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MACD Histogram Divergence

The theory is that connecting the two most recent peaks or valleys of the MACD histogram will signal the direction of the next major move.



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Intraday Chart

2 Days:



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Val Idea

5 out of 9 favorable, (positive opinion.)

Val Idea
Val Idea


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Stock Consultant

Stock Consultant Stock Consultant


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer



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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart
Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

3 out of 3 of the ultimate systems favor an upmove.


System Below:
Short term outlook: Positive: Bright Green, Negative: Bright Red
Long term outlook: Postive: Dark Green, Negative: Dark Red.




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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News - 1
Comparison + 1
Industry - 1
Bond Issue + 1
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings - 1
Cash Flow - 1
Average to Current P/E + 1
Ratios + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Fair Value Estimator + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1
Analysts - 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity + 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
MACD Histogram Divergence + 1
Val Idea + 1
Stock Consultant + 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer + 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart + 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 11
Place 2,790 shares of Invesco Ltd. (IVZ) on the Active List.