11-19-2009: Huntsman Corporation (HUN): On the Merger/Takeover List

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Recommendation

Huntsman Corporation

Huntsman Diversified Chemicals was another Microsoft Network pick. While they did well on our last selection, we don't think they did so well on this selection. The company is losing money, although it should return to profitability soon. It is a very large chemical manufacturer based in Utah, but one anamoly is that on its map of locations on its own website, it has facilities all over the U.S. and all over the world, but Utah seems to have been eliminated.

The company is said to have extremely high corporate governance, although we feel the CEO is overpaid. It avoided Chapter 11 as being dishonorable and shed 49% of its high-debt self. It has been an avid acquirer of smaller companies, but was a big target itself. A huge $6 billion bid was offered by Hexion Specialty Chemicals owned by Apollo management. Huntsman was also a juicy takeover target from BaseF Corp. Huntsman charged that two European banks, Deutchebank and Credit Suisse were working behind the scenes to scuttle the deal by withholding funds from Apollo. Huntsman received already a $1 billion settlement and the suitor parted ways. But then Huntsman sued the banks for another $4.6 billion and won the suit for $1.73 billion of cash and financing. The case was proceeding in Texas before a jury, where Huntsman has many facilities. In fact, it was once based in Woodlands, TX.

Our feeling is that this does little to enhance the desirability of Huntsman as a money-maker, if extraordinary earnings are coming from lawsuits. But there is indication that Huntsman is on the possible merger list, if it can show a little better profitability.

Meanwhile, all this went on while Huntsman continued to expand overseas in places like China and India, high growth markets with high demand for basic commodities. Some analysts feel now that the worldwide economic recovery is underway, basic materials companies like Huntsman will lead the next part of the stock market rally.

Judging from the company's website, this corporation has an amazing diversity of chemicals and consumer products that it manufactures. It would seem to us that this diversity should help it in any sort of economic climate. At the same time, the industry group appears to be very competitive.

Maybe the Microsoft Network sees something we are missing, but we wish it would point us toward companies that are making money, not losing it, although turnaround situations can be among the most profitable stock trades. This is a turnaround situation, but it has been helped by extraordinary gains from a lawsuit.



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Huntsman Corporation             (HUN  )    Sector: Basic Materials
500 Huntsman Way                 Industry: Chemicals - Major Diversified
Salt Lake City, UT 84108         Exchange: NYSE

Huntsman Corporation operates as a global manufacturer of
differentiated organic chemical products and of inorganic chemical
products. Its products comprise a range of chemicals and
formulations, which the company markets globally to a diversified
group of consumer and industrial customers. Huntsman-Ęs products are
used in a range of applications, including those in the adhesives,
aerospace, automotive, construction products, durable and
non-durable consumer products, electronics, medical, packaging,
paints and coatings, power generation, refining, synthetic fiber,
textile chemicals, and dye industries. The company-Ęs key product
lines include MDI, amines, surfactants, epoxy-based polymer
formulations, textile chemicals, dyes, maleic anhydride, and
titanium dioxide. Huntsman operates in five segments: Polyurethanes,
Advanced Materials, Textile Effects, Performance Products, and
Pigments. Its Polyurethanes, Advanced Materials, Textile Effects,
and Performance Products segments produce differentiated organic
chemical products, and Pigments segment produces inorganic chemical
products. The company was founded in 1970 and is based in Salt Lake
City, Utah.

Last Trade:   8.81                     52-Week Range:   9.85 -   2.03
Trade Date:  11-18                     Avg. Volume:  4,623,080 Shares
Index Membership: N/A                              Employees:  12,600

Corporate Governance:
Huntsman Corporation's Corporate Governance Quotient (CGQ-«) as of
6-Nov-09 is better than 95.4% of Russell 3000 companies and 86.7% of
Materials companies.

     EPS:   2.70     Dividend Amount: $  0.40       Yield:         4.60%
                    Ex-Dividend Date: 11-Dec-09   Mkt Cap: $  2,090,000K
                        Payout Ratio: 16.00%

     Last Split Factor (new for old): N/A      Split Date: N/A

Key Statistics:

Enterprise Value: $  4,990,000K           Revenue (ttm)  : $  7,720,000K
                                             Gross Profit: $  1,260,000K
Earnings before Income Tax, Depreciation and Amortization: $    371,000K

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm):  0.65           Revenue per Share: $   32.99
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm):  13.45       Qtrly Rev Growth (y to y):-22.80%


P/E Ratio (fwd projected): 58.73      P/E Ratio (current):   3.26

P/E Growth Ratio (5 yr expected):  0.00  Operating Margin:   -0.82%
               Price/Sales Ratio:  0.27     Profit Margin:    8.37%
                Price/Book Value:  1.22        Book Value: $  7.20/sh.

Return on Assets:  -0.46%        Net Income Avl to Common: $   532,000K
Return on Equity:  31.15%          Diluted Earnings/Share:     $  2.70
                              Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):        0.00%

Balance Sheet Items :                   Cash Flow Items (ttm):
(most recent qrtr)                      (trailing 12 mo.)

       Total Cash: $  1,620,000K        Operating Cash Flow:$  1,630,000K
       Total Debt: $  4,230,000K        Lvgd Free Cash Flow:$    142,880K
Total Debt/Equity:         0.00
 Total Cash/Share:      $  6.82
    Current Ratio:         2.53

Share Statistics:                       Stock Price History:

    Shares Outstanding:  237,290K       Stk 52-Week Change:  22.87%
                 Float:  231,330K       S&P 500 52-Wk Chng:  29.24%
  Sh. Short % of Float:     1.60%        50-Day Moving Avg:   8.70
           Short Ratio:     0.60        200-Day Moving Avg:   7.25
% Held by Institutions:    44.00%                     Beta:   2.18
    % Held by Insiders:    21.36%

Analysts' Estimates:               Cur. Qtr   Next Qtr  Cur. Year  Next Year
___________________________          Dec-09     Mar-10     Dec-09     Dec-10

  Average Earnings Estimate          -0.12      -0.14      -1.15       0.15
  Average Revenue  Estimate         1,970M         0M     8,430M         0M

Factors Comparing This Company to Its Industry Leader (1.0 = Average):

Long Term EPS Growth Rate (5 yr): 0.000          EPS Growth (Qrtly YoY): 0.000
  PEG Ratio (ttm, 5 yr expected): 0.000                 P/E Ratio (ttm): 0.069
      Revenue Growth (Qrtly YoY): %-4.957


Annual Income Statements:                          All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          31-Dec-08    31-Dec-06    31-Dec-05

  Total Revenue                         10,215,000   10,623,600   12,961,600
  Cost of Revenue                        8,951,000    9,084,100   11,209,500
  Gross Profit                           1,264,000    1,539,500    1,752,100

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                   154,000      115,400       95,500
  Selling, General & Administrative        909,000      795,300      719,100
  Non-Recurring Expenses                    36,000     -114,600      123,600
  Other Operating Expenses                       0        6,400            0
  Total Operating Expenses                       0      802,500            0
  Operating Income or Loss                 165,000      737,000      813,900

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net          753,000      -42,400     -333,000
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes         932,000      698,200      489,100
  Interest Expense                         263,000      350,700      426,900
  Income Before Taxes                      669,000      347,500       62,200
  Income Tax Expense                       190,000      -49,000       23,500
  Minority Interest                         -1,000       -2,900       -1,700
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s          478,000      393,600       37,000

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                  117,000     -219,700      -43,900
  Extraordinary Items                       14,000       55,900            0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                   0            0      -27,700
  Other Items                                    0            0            0
  Net Income                               609,000      229,800      -34,600

  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustmnts            0            0      -43,100
  Net Income Avail To Common Shares        609,000      229,800      -77,700


Quarterly Income Statements:                           All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                    30-Sep-09   30-Jun-09   31-Mar-09   31-Dec-08

  Total Revenue                    2,108,000   1,866,000   1,693,000   2,048,400
  Cost of Revenue                  1,771,000   1,629,000   1,548,000   1,883,600
  Gross Profit                       337,000     237,000     145,000     164,800

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development              36,000      36,000      36,000      35,700
  Selling, General & Adminis.        214,000     199,000     189,000     220,500
  Non-Recurring Expenses              62,000      63,000      14,000      27,400
  Other Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Total Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Operating Income or Loss            25,000     -61,000     -94,000    -118,800

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net     -4,000     831,000      -4,000     802,800
  Earnings Before Int. & Taxes      -179,000     833,000    -159,000     688,400
  Interest Expense                  -113,000     113,000           0      64,500
  Income Before Taxes                -66,000     720,000    -159,000     623,900
  Income Tax Expense                       0     311,000     138,000     147,700
  Minority Interest                        0           0       4,000       6,000
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s    -66,000     409,000    -297,000     482,200

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                  0           0       3,000     112,400
  Extraordinary Items                      0           0           0       3,600
  Effect of Accounting Changes             0           0           0           0
  Other Items                              0           0           0           0
  Net Income                         -64,000     402,000    -290,000     598,200

  Preferred Stock & Other Adj.s       -4,000       4,000           0           0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shs     -68,000     406,000    -290,000     598,200


Annual Balance Sheets:                                All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                        31-Dec-08      31-Dec-06      31-Dec-05
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                662,000        263,200        142,800
  Short Term Investments                       0              0              0
  Net Receivables                        934,000      1,321,900      1,513,800
  Inventory                            1,500,000      1,520,100      1,309,200
  Other Current Assets                   144,000        231,400        130,200
  Total Current Assets                 3,240,000      3,336,600      3,096,000

  Long-Term Investments                  276,000        204,500        195,600
  Property, Plant & Equipt             3,727,000      4,149,300      4,764,700
  Goodwill                                92,000         90,200         91,200
  Intangible Assets                      153,000        187,600        216,300
  Accumulated Amortization                     0              0              0
  Other Assets                           286,000        286,300        412,500
  Deferred Long Term Asset Charges       284,000        190,400         94,200
  Total Assets                         8,058,000      8,444,900      8,870,500

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                     1,400,000      1,885,200      1,840,700
  Short/Current Long Term Debt           205,000        187,900         44,600
  Other Current Liabilities                    0              0          2,400
  Total Current Liabilities            1,605,000      2,073,100      1,887,700

  Long Term Debt                       3,683,000      3,457,400      4,413,300
  Other Liabilities                    1,021,000        955,800        770,200
  Deferred LT Liability Charges          117,000        192,600        258,300
  Minority Interest                       22,000         29,400         20,400
  Negative Goodwill                            0              0              0
  Total Liabilities                    6,448,000      6,708,300      7,349,900

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Stocks Options Warrants                0              0              0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock                   0              0              0
  Preferred Stock                              0        287,500        287,500
  Common Stock                             2,000          2,200          2,200
  Retained Earnings                   -1,031,000     -1,277,600     -1,505,800
  Treasury Stock                               0              0              0
  Capital Surplus                      3,141,000      2,798,400      2,779,800
  Other Stockholder Equity              -502,000        -73,900        -43,100
  Total Stockholder Equity             1,610,000      1,736,600      1,520,600
  Net Tangible Assets                  1,365,000      1,458,800      1,213,100


Quarterly Balance Sheets:                               All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                 30-Sep-09    30-Jun-09    31-Mar-09    31-Dec-08
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents      1,626,000    2,301,000      473,000      662,000
  Short Term Investments                0            0            0            0
  Net Receivables               1,175,000      964,000      848,000      934,000
  Inventory                     1,113,000    1,162,000    1,333,000    1,500,000
  Other Current Assets            166,000      122,000      131,000      144,000
  Total Current Assets          4,080,000    4,549,000    2,785,000    3,240,000

  Long-Term Investments           272,000      271,000      274,000      276,000
  Property, Plant & Equipt     3,562,000    3,588,000    3,471,000    3,727,000
  Goodwill                         94,000       94,000       92,000       92,000
  Intangible Assets               133,000      138,000      144,000      153,000
  Accumulated Amortization              0            0            0            0
  Other Assets                    366,000      352,000      350,000      286,000
  Deferred LT Asset Charges             0            0            0            0
  Total Assets                  8,710,000    9,153,000    7,270,000    8,058,000

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable              1,415,000    1,442,000    1,144,000    1,400,000
  Current Portion LT Debt         198,000      691,000      161,000      205,000
  Other Current Liabilities             0            0            0            0
  Total Current Liabilities     1,613,000    2,133,000    1,305,000    1,605,000

  Long Term Debt                4,033,000    3,995,000    3,618,000    3,683,000
  Other Liabilities             1,017,000    1,019,000      980,000    1,021,000
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges       344,000      252,000      129,000      117,000
  Minority Interest                19,000       18,000       18,000       22,000
  Negative Goodwill                     0            0            0            0
  Total Liabilities             7,026,000    7,417,000    6,050,000    6,448,000

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, WarrantS               0            0            0            0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock            0            0            0            0
  Preferred Stock                       0            0            0            0
  Common Stock                      2,000        2,000        2,000        2,000
  Retained Earnings            -1,054,000     -962,000   -1,344,000   -1,031,000
  Treasury Stock                        0            0            0            0
  Capital Surplus               3,152,000    3,152,000    3,151,000    3,141,000
  Other Stockholder Equity       -416,000     -456,000     -589,000     -502,000
  Total Stockholder Equity      1,684,000    1,736,000    1,220,000    1,610,000
  Net Tangible Assets           1,457,000    1,504,000      984,000    1,365,000


Annual Cash Flow:                                    All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                       31-Dec-08      31-Dec-06      31-Dec-05

  Net Income                            609,000        402,000        -34,600
Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                          398,000        465,700        500,800
  Adjustments to Net Income             100,000        107,500        513,400
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls          263,000        228,100         61,300
  Changes in Liabilities               -515,000       -176,900        108,700
  Changes in Inventories               -119,000        -58,800        -96,900
  Changes in Other Op'ing Actv's              0         97,700        -78,600
  Total Cash Flow fr Operations         767,000        893,100        974,100

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                 -418,000       -549,900       -338,700
  Investments                             4,000              0        -38,100
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing               0        723,800              0
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing        -489,000        173,900              0

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                        -97,000        -14,400        -10,800
  Sale or Purchase of Stock              -4,000          6,200      1,491,900
  Net Borrowings                        332,000       -950,200     -2,091,600
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing          -1,000         -2,800          7,500
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing         230,000              0              0

  Effect of Exchange Rate Change         -5,000         14,600         -2,300
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.s         503,000        120,400        100,400


Quarterly Cash Flow:                                   All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                   30-Sep-09   30-Jun-09   31-Mar-09   31-Dec-08

  Net Income                        -64,000     402,000    -290,000     598,200

Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                      112,000     100,000     126,000     107,900
  Adjustments to Net Income          88,000     130,000     145,000      39,900
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls     -199,000     -83,000      57,000     316,100
  Changes in Liabilities            -42,000     239,000    -194,000    -472,400
  Changes in Inventories             72,000     238,000     114,000     -20,900
  Changes in Other Oper'g Acts      -65,000      17,000       8,000     151,900
  Total Cash Flow f Operations     -102,000   1,047,000     -38,000     720,700

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures              -40,000     -39,000     -61,000     -92,700
  Investments                             0           0           0         400
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing      -4,000     -19,000      -1,000       3,800
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing     -44,000     -58,000     -62,000     -88,500

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                    -24,000     -24,000     -23,000     -23,200
  Sale or Purchase of Stock               0           0           0        -200
  Net Borrowings                   -493,000     859,000     -61,000     -54,700
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing     -11,000      -4,000           0        -600
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing    -533,000     831,000     -84,000     -78,700

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg         3,000       5,000      -3,000      -3,700
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.     -676,000   1,825,000    -187,000     549,800


HUN    Huntsman Corporation               [Indices near +3.0 or near zero,
                                          or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    3.0000       P/E Ratio > 5?             0.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate: -2.0000       Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    0.4768

Sales Tests:
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   3.0000       Inventory/Sales < 5%?      0.3405
Sales < $1 billion?        0.0979       Operating Margin < 7.5%?  -3.0000

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        1.0000       Long-Term Debt Service:    0.4371
LTD Being Reduced?         1.2000       Short-Term Debt Service:   1.4106
Current Ratio > 2?         1.2645       Working Capital >= 1.5?    0.7907
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      0.4740       Debt / Assets < 1?         2.1879
Quick Ratio > 1?           1.7365       Inventory Turnover > 1?    3.0000
Shares Out Decreasing?     1.2000       Market Cap.> 1.5 Billion?  0.7177
                                        Profit Margin > 7.5%?      1.1160
Income Tests:
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     1.3043       EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0000
Enterprise Value/Revenue:  0.4333       EPS 5-yr Growth > 20%?     0.8000
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   1.9214       EPS Growth Consistent?     1.8000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    0.0000       Collection < 45 days?      1.3484
Rev. Qtrly Growth > 15%?  -3.0000       Gross Pft/Cur. LTD < 1?    3.0000
EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.0000       Borrowing Int. Rate< 6%?   3.0000

Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          3.0000       % Held by Insiders  < 5%?  0.2341
Beta > 1.25?               1.7440       % Held by Institut. < 50?  1.1364
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.4938       % Held by Institut. > 30?  1.4667
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  1.9494       Short Ratio > 5?           0.1200
Price/Book Value < 3?      2.7800       Short % of Float > 20?     0.0800
Return on Assets > 17%?   -0.0271       Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  3.0000       Positive Free Cash Flow?   1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  1.0000       Price to C.F./sh. Ratio:   1.0448
                                        Cash Flow / Assets >.10?   0.1640

HUN     Huntsman Corporation            Overall Zenith Index:      1.0659


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The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for Huntsman Corporation:
Symbol? HUN
Total Months Available:  57
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
   9.54    2.03      7.33    2.88      9.85    5.46

RANGE   =   9.85  TO    2.03            Close =   8.67
CHANNEL =   7.33  TO    5.46           Degree =   2
Volatility =  21.57%                    Index =   4
Channel Chart


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20 Days:

1 Day:

The following table details which MACD signals on the preceding chart are best taken.
Originally, this was set up for a two-day span, but ten days gives a better sample.
Unfortunately, with the 10-day span, the colored lines on the histogram are much
harder to read.  Both spans are shown above.  Red turning into green on the histogram
is a buy and green turning into red is a sell, but with the following conditions.  The
share price must have moved at least 0.2% away from the previous signal price in order
to avoid whipsawing.  More importantly, the +/- magnitude of the MACD (the blue line,
which crosses the red line at signal time) must be greater than the minimum required
magnitude indicated below.  Otherwise, the signal is ignored.  This system does not
work well for Huntsman.

HUN    Minimum Magnitude MACD for Action = ± 0.0250

Ticker Day   Time     Hist.      MACD  Sig Line  Act    Price   Profit

HUN    06   06:54   -0.0004    0.0293    0.0297   S      8.19     0.00
HUN    06   06:55    0.0021    0.0323    0.0302   B      8.25    -0.77
HUN    06   07:07   -0.0022    0.0453    0.0474   S      8.30    -0.11
HUN    09   06:23    0.0055    0.0024   -0.0032          8.33     0.86
HUN    10   08:02    0.0001   -0.0272   -0.0273   B      8.21     0.86
HUN    10   08:08   -0.0021   -0.0280   -0.0259   S      8.15     0.13
HUN    10   08:12    0.0003   -0.0263   -0.0266   B      8.17    -0.12
HUN    10   12:29   -0.0003    0.0283    0.0286   S      8.43     3.07
HUN    11   06:31   -0.0016   -0.0057   -0.0041          8.43     6.25
HUN    12   06:53    0.0017    0.0367    0.0351   B      8.66     6.25
HUN    12   10:54   -0.0014    0.0253    0.0266   S      8.53     4.75
HUN    13   06:25    0.0034    0.0116    0.0081          8.67     4.86
HUN    13   07:20    0.0002   -0.0314   -0.0316   B      8.46     4.86
HUN    16   06:01    0.0074    0.0197    0.0124          8.41     7.75
HUN    16   06:59   -0.0019    0.0435    0.0453   S      8.52     7.75
HUN    16   07:06    0.0017    0.0428    0.0411   B      8.62     6.58
HUN    16   07:12   -0.0020    0.0427    0.0447   S      8.58     6.11
HUN    16   10:27    0.0007   -0.0301   -0.0308   B      8.63     5.53
HUN    18   05:33    0.0108    0.0228    0.0120          8.82     2.73
HUN    18   05:33    0.0108    0.0228    0.0120          8.82     2.73


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Stock Fetcher

Fetcher Fetcher


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Point & Figure Chart

P & F Chart


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Wall Street Analyzer




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Marketspace Chart

Marketspace Chart



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Time Series Forecast

Time Series 1 Time Series 2


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Neural Network Prediction

"Neurostock" can only track long trades. Therefore its performance, as tracked by itself on stocks which are consistently falling, may not appear as good as it could if each "sell" signal were a "short sale."

Neural Chart Heading
Neural Trades Neural Prediction



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Ultimate Trading Systems

The corresponding trades for the above chart are shown in tabular form below.



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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison - 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue - 1
Zenith Index - 1
GAAP vs. non-GAAP Earnings < 1%- 1
Cash Flow + 1
Ratios - 1
Market Grader - 1
Intrinsic Value DCF - 1
Intrinsic Value DDM - 1
Stock Scout + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1
Analysts - 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest + 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
Moving Average + 1
Stock Fetcher - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer - 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total - 1
Place 3,400 shares of Huntsman Corp. (HUN) on the Active List.