12-21-2011: Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR): Texas and Louisiana Oil with Shale Potential Elsewhere

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Recommendation

Gulfport Energy Corporation

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) has some unique features that make it attractive for us. We were somewhat disappointed to find our Decision Matrix did not give this stock as high a score as we anticipated. Into that matrix go opinions of others and recent chart performance, both of which were surprisingly unsupportive. Gulfport is a U.S. domestic oil exploration producer of oil and natural gas. It has operations overseas in Thailand but we think its main sources of revenue are two locations in the U.S., the Louisiana coast and the Texas Permian Basin. The company may be Oklahoma-based, but its big interests are in Louisiana and Texas. Other interests in Canada and Ohio are coming on line in the sand shale potential business. We were somewhat led into this selection by Jim Cramer, who favors energy stocks in general. Unfortunately, his conclusions were not mirrored by all other researchers. The oil exploration industry has been weak of late in stock performance, although oil prices seem to be remaining fairly high.

Pushing this stock down is a recent floatation of 5 million new shares of common, diluting the value of common stock. Gulfport frequently has had new stock offerings, but proceeds from these have been generally used for purchases in attractive investments, mostly domestic. If sand shale ever becomes a significant source of this nation's energy, Gulfport should participate nicely. Institutioins are accumulating this stock in significant amounts.

Gulfport is also a "channeling stock", something we like to see for predictability. However, at this time it is in the middle of its channel range leading to no particular conclusions about the next move. As it approaches one extreme or the other, one might look for opportunity.

Gulfport came from next to nothing not too many years back, but has successfully parlayed investor money into some productive real estate in the oil and gas exploration areas of this country. It is a growth stock, growing at a reasonable rate, but not too fast.

One manager is holding $9 million worth of stock option perquisites, which caused us to give it a negative insider activity/options/executive compensation rating.

Another thing we should point out about any domestic oil and gas producer is that the industry group is one of the most competitive to be found anywhere. One might well pay close attention to the number and size of competitors. 



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is consider strong and > 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

Gulfport Energy Corp.            (GPOR )    Sector: Basic Materials
14313 North May Avenue           Industry: Independent Oil & Gas
Suite 100                        Exchange: Nasdaq
Oklahoma City, OK 73134

Gulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and
production of oil and natural gas properties. Its principal properties
consist of the West Cote Blanche Bay and Hackberry fields in the Louisiana
Gulf Coast; and the Permian Basin in West Texas. The company also has
interests in the Niobrara Formation, Western Colorado; the Utica Shale of
eastern Ohio; and the Alberta oil sands in Canada, as well as owns
interests in southeast Asia, including the Phu Horm gas field in Thailand.
As of December 31, 2010, it had 22.4 million barrels of oil equivalent of
proved reserves. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Last Trade:  27.96                     52-Week Range:  38.09 -  18.72
Trade Date:  12-20                     Avg. Volume:  1,019,550 Shares
Index Membership:                                  Employees:      45

Corporate Governance:
    Audit (Low Concern), Board (Medium Concern),
    Compensation (Medium Concern), Shareholder Rights (Low Concern).

     EPS:   1.94     Dividend Amount: $  0.00       Yield:         0.00%
                    Ex-Dividend Date: N/A         Mkt Cap: $  1,420,000K
                        Payout Ratio:  0.00%

     Last Split Factor (new for old): N/A      Split Date: N/A

Key Statistics:

Enterprise Value: $  1,400,000K           Revenue (ttm)  : $    198,040K
                                             Gross Profit: $    109,330K
Earnings before Income Tax, Depreciation and Amortization: $    147,600K

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm):  7.09           Revenue per Share: $    4.23
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm):   9.51       Qtrly Rev Growth (y to y): 74.40%


P/E Ratio (fwd projected): 11.41      P/E Ratio (current):  14.42

P/E Growth Ratio (5 yr expected):  0.29  Operating Margin:   47.64%
               Price/Sales Ratio:  7.19     Profit Margin:   46.34%
                Price/Book Value:  2.98        Book Value: $  9.38/sh.

Return on Assets:  13.95%        Net Income Avl to Common: $    91,760K
Return on Equity:  27.27%          Diluted Earnings/Share:     $  1.94
                              Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):      128.80%

Balance Sheet Items :                   Cash Flow Items (ttm):
(most recent qrtr)                      (trailing 12 mo.)

       Total Cash: $     22,710K        Operating Cash Flow:$    149,650K
       Total Debt: $      2,320K        Lvgd Free Cash Flow:$   -114,970K
Total Debt/Equity:         0.49
 Total Cash/Share:      $  0.45
    Current Ratio:         0.90

Share Statistics:                       Stock Price History:

    Shares Outstanding:   50,940K       Stk 52-Week Change:  31.33%
                 Float:   43,290K       S&P 500 52-Wk Chng:  -3.93%
  Sh. Short % of Float:     9.60%        50-Day Moving Avg:  32.49
           Short Ratio:     3.70        200-Day Moving Avg:  29.32
% Held by Institutions:    60.40%                     Beta:   2.49
    % Held by Insiders:    27.20%

Analysts' Estimates:               Cur. Qtr   Next Qtr  Cur. Year  Next Year
___________________________          Dec 11     Mar 12     Dec 11     Dec 12

  Average Earnings Estimate           0.56       0.55       2.18       2.45
  Average Revenue  Estimate             9M        62M       219M       281M

Factors Comparing This Company to Its Industry Leader (1.0 = Average):

Long Term EPS Growth Rate (5 yr):  42.385      EPS Growth (Qrtly YoY):  12.523
  PEG Ratio (ttm, 5 yr expected): %1856.469             P/E Ratio (ttm):  38.190
      Revenue Growth (Qrtly YoY):   7.548


Annual Income Statements:                          All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          Dec31,2010   Dec31,2009   Dec31,2008

  Total Revenue                            126,944       85,262      141,217
  Cost of Revenue                           17,614       16,316       38,669
  Gross Profit                             109,330       68,946      102,548

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                         0            0            0
  Selling, General & Administrative         20,029       14,789        6,843
  Non-Recurring Expenses                         0            0      272,722
  Other Operating Expenses                  39,524       29,807       43,032
  Total Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Operating Income or Loss                  49,777       24,350     -220,049

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net              387        1,614       40,309
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes          50,164       25,964     -179,740
  Interest Expense                           2,761        2,309        4,762
  Income Before Taxes                       47,403       23,655     -184,502
  Income Tax Expense                            40           28            0
  Minority Interest                              0            0            0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s           47,363       23,627     -184,502

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                        0            0            0
  Extraordinary Items                            0            0            0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                   0            0            0
  Other Items                                    0            0            0
  Net Income                                47,363       23,627     -184,502

  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustmnts            0            0            0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shares         47,363       23,627     -184,502


Quarterly Income Statements:                           All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                   Sep30,2011  Jun30,2011  Mar31,2011  Dec31,2010

  Total Revenue                       59,039      54,947      46,322      37,047
  Cost of Revenue                      5,744       4,706       4,653       5,402
  Gross Profit                        53,295      50,241      41,669      31,645

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                   0           0           0           0
  Selling, General & Adminis.          8,315       8,851       7,563       5,201
  Non-Recurring Expenses                   0           0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses            14,904      13,876      12,317      12,151
  Total Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Operating Income or Loss            30,076      27,514      21,789      14,293

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net         64          37          38         143
  Earnings Before Int. & Taxes        29,234      27,551      21,827      14,922
  Interest Expense                       225         285         653         607
  Income Before Taxes                 29,009      27,266      21,174      14,315
  Income Tax Expense                       0           1           0           0
  Minority Interest                        0           0           0           0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s     28,103      27,265      21,174      14,801

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                  0           0           0           0
  Extraordinary Items                      0           0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes             0           0           0           0
  Other Items                              0           0           0           0
  Net Income                          29,009      27,265      21,174      14,315

  Preferred Stock & Other Adj.s            0           0           0           0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shs      29,009      27,265      21,174      14,315


Annual Balance Sheets:                                All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                       Dec31,2010     Dec31,2009     Dec31,2008
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                  2,468          1,724          5,944
  Short Term Investments                       0              0              0
  Net Receivables                         15,525          9,628         13,644
  Inventory                                    0              0              0
  Other Current Assets                     1,732          2,047          1,045
  Total Current Assets                    19,725         13,399         20,633

  Long-Term Investments                   53,027         47,926         37,737
  Property, Plant & Equipt               249,740        169,298        162,239
  Goodwill                                     0              0              0
  Intangible Assets                            0              0              0
  Accumulated Amortization                     0              0              0
  Other Assets                             4,182          3,370            611
  Deferred Long Term Asset Charges           628            533            653
  Total Assets                           319,693        227,344        221,873

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                        41,155         20,977         27,772
  Short/Current Long Term Debt             7,137         21,577            815
  Other Current Liabilities                  635            635            635
  Total Current Liabilities               48,927         43,189         29,222

  Long Term Debt                          49,500         49,586         69,916
  Other Liabilities                       10,210          9,518          8,634
  Deferred LT Liability Charges                0              0              0
  Minority Interest                            0              0              0
  Negative Goodwill                            0              0              0
  Total Liabilities                      108,637        102,293        107,772

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Stocks Options Warrants                0              0              0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock                   0              0              0
  Preferred Stock                              0              0              0
  Common Stock                               446            427            426
  Retained Earnings                      -83,875       -131,238       -154,865
  Treasury Stock                               0              0              0
  Capital Surplus                        296,253        273,901        273,343
  Other Stockholder Equity                -1,768        -18,039         -4,803
  Total Stockholder Equity               211,056        125,051        114,101
  Net Tangible Assets                    211,056        125,051        114,101


Quarterly Balance Sheets:                               All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                Sep30,2011   Jun30,2011   Mar31,2011   Dec31,2010
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents          22,711        4,678       26,826        2,468
  Short Term Investments                0            0            0            0
  Net Receivables                  24,497       29,430       21,104       15,525
  Inventory                             0            0            0            0
  Other Current Assets             13,350        1,923        1,114        1,732
  Total Current Assets             55,569       36,031       49,044       19,725

  Long-Term Investments            80,236       74,075       61,007       53,027
  Property, Plant & Equipt        419,816      336,357      267,166      249,740
  Goodwill                              0            0            0            0
  Intangible Assets                     0            0            0            0
  Accumulated Amortization              0            0            0            0
  Other Assets                          0        4,932        4,564        4,182
  Deferred LT Asset Charges           573          628          628          628
  Total Assets                    553,437      444,322      374,787      319,693

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                 61,160       49,690       38,369       41,155
  Current Portion LT Debt             139        3,568       11,510        7,137
  Other Current Liabilities           635          635          635          635
  Total Current Liabilities        61,934       53,893       50,514       48,927

  Long Term Debt                    2,178       32,215        2,251       49,500
  Other Liabilities                11,640       10,982       10,543       10,210
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges             0            0            0            0
  Minority Interest                     0            0            0            0
  Negative Goodwill                     0            0            0            0
  Total Liabilities                75,752       97,090       63,308      108,637

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, WarrantS               0            0            0            0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock            0            0            0            0
  Preferred Stock                       0            0            0            0
  Common Stock                        509          475          474          446
  Retained Earnings                -6,427      -35,436      -62,701      -83,875
  Treasury Stock                        0            0            0            0
  Capital Surplus                 475,703      381,102      380,960      296,253
  Other Stockholder Equity          7,900        1,091       -7,254       -1,768
  Total Stockholder Equity        477,685      347,232      311,479      211,056
  Net Tangible Assets             477,685      347,232      311,479      211,056


Annual Cash Flow:                                    All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                      Dec31,2010     Dec31,2009     Dec31,2008

  Net Income                             47,363         27,265       -184,502
Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                           39,524         29,807         43,032
  Adjustments to Net Income                -343            537        272,949
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls           -5,897          4,016           -926
  Changes in Liabilities                  4,948         -3,686          5,328
  Changes in Inventories                      0              0              0
  Changes in Other Op'ing Actv's              0         -1,002           -558
  Total Cash Flow fr Operations          85,835         53,299        135,323

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                 -102,071        -49,547       -126,090
  Investments                            -3,279         -8,190        -10,519
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing               0         18,491           -214
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing        -105,315        -39,246       -136,823

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                              0              0              0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock              21,879             30            482
  Net Borrowings                           -511        -18,303          4,198
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing               0              0              0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing          20,224        -18,273          4,680

  Effect of Exchange Rate Change              0              0              0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.s             744         -4,220          3,180


Quarterly Cash Flow:                                   All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                  Sep30,2011  Jun30,2011  Mar31,2011  Dec31,2010

  Net Income                         29,009      27,265      21,174      14,315

Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                       15,046      14,007      12,427      12,151
  Adjustments to Net Income            -314         797         357        -800
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls        4,933      -8,326      -5,579      -2,697
  Changes in Liabilities              7,657       4,179        -709       3,888
  Changes in Inventories                  0           0           0           0
  Changes in Other Oper'g Acts            0        -809         618         744
  Total Cash Flow f Operations       56,645      37,113      28,288      27,601

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures              -93,841     -75,162     -33,298     -29,481
  Investments                          -986      -2,935      -2,214         -98
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing           0     -10,324      -3,494        -538
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing    -102,778     -88,421     -39,006     -30,117

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                          0           0           0           0
  Sale or Purchase of Stock          94,251        -182      84,607         284
  Net Borrowings                    -30,035      29,966     -49,531       3,771
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing         -50        -624           0      -1,144
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing      64,166      29,160      35,076       2,911

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg             0           0           0           0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.       18,033     -22,148      24,358         395


GPOR   Gulfport Energy Corp.              [Indices near +3.0 or near zero,
                                          or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    1.9417       P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate: -1.1300       Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    2.4540

Sales Tests:
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   0.3199       Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.0000
Sales < $1 billion?        3.0000       Operating Margin < 7.5%?   0.1574

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.8163       Long-Term Debt Service:    3.0000
LTD Being Reduced?         2.4000       Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.4500       Working Capital >= 1.5?    2.2291
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      3.0000       Debt / Assets < 1?         3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           0.7622       Inventory Turnover > 1?    1.0000
Shares Out Decreasing?     1.2000       Market Cap.> 1.5 Billion?  1.0563
                                        Profit Margin > 7.5%?      3.0000
Income Tests:
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     0.0000       EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   3.0000
Enterprise Value/Revenue:  3.0000       EPS 5-yr Growth > 20%?     2.0980
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   1.3586       EPS Growth Consistent?     3.0000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?    3.0000       Collection < 45 days?      1.0081
Rev. Qtrly Growth > 15%?   3.0000       Gross Pft/Cur. LTD < 1?    3.0000
EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   3.0000       Borrowing Int. Rate< 6%?   1.0384

Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          2.7277       % Held by Insiders  < 5%?  0.1838
Beta > 1.25?               1.9920       % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.8278
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.3401       % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.0133
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500: -0.2620       Short Ratio > 5?           0.7400
Price/Book Value < 3?      1.0200       Short % of Float > 20?     0.4800
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.8206       Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  1.3016       Positive Free Cash Flow?   0.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  1.0000       Price to C.F./sh. Ratio:  -0.8822
                                        Cash Flow / Assets >.10?  -2.0774

GPOR    Gulfport Energy Corp.           Overall Zenith Index:      1.4977


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The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for Gulfport Energy Corp.:
Symbol? GPOR
Total Months Available: 140
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  38.09   20.00     37.49   22.00     37.80   18.72

RANGE   =  38.09  TO   18.72            Close =  27.78
CHANNEL =  37.49  TO   22.00           Degree =   8
Volatility =  55.76%                    Index =  44
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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison + 1
Industry - 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings < 1%- 1
Cash Flow + 1
Ratios - 1
Market Grader + 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Intrinsic Value DDM + 1
Stock Scout - 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports 0
Analysts + 1
Executive Perquisites - 1
Insider Activity - 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest + 1
Sentiment - 1
Standard & Poor's - 1
Moving Average - 1
Right Time Study + 1
Stock Fetcher + 1
Point & Figure - 1
Wall Street Analyzer + 1
Marketspace Chart - 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network - 1
Stock Options + 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 4
Place 1,050 shares of Gulfport Energy Corp. (GPOR) on the Active List.