01-20-2012: ABM Industries, Inc. (ABM): New Opportunities in Sustainability and Energy Efficiency

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Recommendation

ABM Industries, Inc.

ABM Industries (formerly American Building Maintenance) (ABM) operates in four distinct segments, engineering (facilities management), parking, janitorial services, and security.

Once again, we thought perhaps "boring" was good. That's because we equate "boring" with predictability, an important element in stock trading. The company stock has a rather flat chart performance. But we thought the potential to make money through options trading would be there. Unfortunately, we found the option trading so thin that the company did not make the cut on what we consider an "optionable" candidate.

Nonetheless, in contrast to both researchers and analysts (with the exception of Cramer, who is running against the tide), we think the company has strong fundamentals. It also pays a 2.8% dividend and has reasonable corporate governance save for the fact that it has some poison pill provisions that make takeover difficult for some other entity. But that again helps predictability.

Since our emphasis has been increasingly on options in what we consider a mature and aging bull market with few bargains left, this stock is more of a buy and hold and dividend play.

The company had to battle with Zurich American Insurance company when it suffered severe losses in the World Trade Center 911 destruction. It won its court battles and was compensated. The company also has to deal with a very watchful government eye on its hiring of documented workers. The company has several new growth areas opening up for it, particularly the installation of charging stations in its parking services, and lucrative government contracts to maintain facilities needing charging stations. Also the company recently became involved in very lucrative military support operations, including foreign language services, through its purchase of Linc Government Services. This latter subsidiary also provides sustainability practices consulting services for facility designs.

The reason we think the company stock has looked so weak lately despite its participation in one of the strongest performing industry groups, business services, is because businesses have been reluctant to acquire additional services in the current economic climate. That may be about to change.



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Zenith Index

Under current market conditions, a Zenith Index Score of 1.20 or above is required for a positive rating on this factor. 1.21 -1.30 is considered acceptable, 1.30-1.40 is consider strong and > 1.40 is considered exceptionally strong. Accounting statements in this section often contain mistakes, especially in earlier years' totals, but data is deemed sufficient for us to give a rating. More accurate financial statements follow in the next section.

ABM Industries Inc.              (ABM  )    Sector: Services
551 Fifth Avenue                 Industry: Business Services
Suite 300                        Exchange: NYSE
New York, NY 10176

ABM Industries Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, provides integrated
facilities management services in the United States. The company-Ęs
Janitorial segment offers floor cleaning and finishing, window washing,
furniture polishing, carpet cleaning and dusting, and other building
cleaning services for commercial office buildings, industrial buildings,
retail stores, shopping centers, warehouses, airport terminals, health
facilities, educational institutions, stadiums and arenas, and government
buildings. Its Engineering segment provides mobile and onsite services
comprising mechanical engineering and technical services and solutions for
infrastructure systems, including maintenance, retro-commissioning,
mechanical retrofits and upgrades, electric vehicle charging stations,
electrical service, systems start-ups, performance testing, and energy
audits to government facilities, military installations, commercial
infrastructure, airports/transportation centers, healthcare centers and
hospitals, data centers, manufacturing facilities, educational campuses,
corporate office buildings, resorts, shopping malls, museums, and
residences. This segment also offers support programs to government, such
as leadership development, education and training, language support,
educational institutions, municipalities, and airports; and provides
transportation services. Its Security segment offers security services
comprising staffing of security officers, mobile patrol services,
investigative services, electronic monitoring of fire, life safety
systems, access control devices, and security consulting services to
commercial, industrial, retail, medical, petro-chemical, and residential
facilities. The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in New
York, New York.

Last Trade:  20.43                     52-Week Range:  27.14 -  17.29
Trade Date:  01-18                     Avg. Volume:    395,192 Shares
Index Membership:                                  Employees:  96,000

Corporate Governance:
    Audit (Low Concern), Board (Low Concern), Compensation
    (Medium Concern), Shareholder Rights (High Concern).

     EPS:   1.27     Dividend Amount: $  0.58       Yield:         2.80%
                    Ex-Dividend Date: Jan 3, 201  Mkt Cap: $  1,110,000K
                        Payout Ratio: 44.00%

     Last Split Factor (new for old): 2:1      Split Date: May 7, 200

Key Statistics:

Enterprise Value: $  1,360,000K           Revenue (ttm)  : $  4,250,000K
                                             Gross Profit: $    465,580K
Earnings before Income Tax, Depreciation and Amortization: $    170,230K

Enterprise Value/Revenue (ttm):  0.32           Revenue per Share: $   79.95
Enterprise Value/EBITDA (ttm):   8.01       Qtrly Rev Growth (y to y): 20.00%


P/E Ratio (fwd projected): 12.80      P/E Ratio (current):  16.38

P/E Growth Ratio (5 yr expected):  3.49  Operating Margin:    2.77%
               Price/Sales Ratio:  0.26     Profit Margin:    1.61%
                Price/Book Value:  1.37        Book Value: $ 14.92/sh.

Return on Assets:   4.29%        Net Income Avl to Common: $    68,700K
Return on Equity:   8.95%          Diluted Earnings/Share:     $  1.27
                              Qrtly Earnings Growth (yoy):      -17.20%

Balance Sheet Items :                   Cash Flow Items (ttm):
(most recent qrtr)                      (trailing 12 mo.)

       Total Cash: $     26,470K        Operating Cash Flow:$    159,990K
       Total Debt: $    300,300K        Lvgd Free Cash Flow:$     74,690K
Total Debt/Equity:        37.73
 Total Cash/Share:      $  0.50
    Current Ratio:         1.66

Share Statistics:                       Stock Price History:

    Shares Outstanding:   53,350K       Stk 52-Week Change: -19.05%
                 Float:   49,330K       S&P 500 52-Wk Chng:   2.17%
  Sh. Short % of Float:     6.90%        50-Day Moving Avg:  20.83
           Short Ratio:     4.80        200-Day Moving Avg:  20.49
% Held by Institutions:    85.00%                     Beta:   1.26
    % Held by Insiders:    17.28%

Analysts' Estimates:               Cur. Qtr   Next Qtr  Cur. Year  Next Year
___________________________          Jan 12     Apr 12     Oct 12     Oct 13

  Average Earnings Estimate           0.22       0.30       1.43       1.62
  Average Revenue  Estimate            70M     1,090M     4,390M     4,570M

Factors Comparing This Company to Its Industry Leader (1.0 = Average):

Long Term EPS Growth Rate (5 yr):   3.508      EPS Growth (Qrtly YoY):   2.583
  PEG Ratio (ttm, 5 yr expected):  42.100             P/E Ratio (ttm):  25.700
      Revenue Growth (Qrtly YoY):   5.134


Annual Income Statements:                          All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                          Sep30,2011   Oct31,2010   Sep30,2010

  Total Revenue                          4,246,842    3,495,747    3,495,747
  Cost of Revenue                        3,781,264    3,134,018    3,134,018
  Gross Profit                             465,578      361,729      361,729

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                         0            0            0
  Selling, General & Administrative        324,762      241,526      241,526
  Non-Recurring Expenses                         0            0            0
  Other Operating Expenses                  23,248       11,364       11,364
  Total Operating Expenses                       0            0            0
  Operating Income or Loss                 117,568      108,839      108,839

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net                0         -127         -127
  Earnings Before Interest & Taxes         121,483      108,712      108,712
  Interest Expense                          15,805        4,639        4,639
  Income Before Taxes                      105,678      104,073      104,073
  Income Tax Expense                        36,980       40,203       40,203
  Minority Interest                              0            0            0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s           68,698       63,870       63,870

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations                     -194          251          251
  Extraordinary Items                            0            0            0
  Effect of Accounting Changes                   0            0            0
  Other Items                                    0            0            0
  Net Income                                68,504       64,121       64,121

  Preferred Stock & Other Adjustmnts            0            0            0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shares         68,504       64,121       64,121


Quarterly Income Statements:                           All numbers in thousands)
  Period Ending                   Sep30,2011  Jul31,2011  Apr30,2011  Jan31,2011

  Total Revenue                    1,081,343   1,076,247   1,060,083   1,029,169
  Cost of Revenue                    959,592     944,318     949,594     927,760
  Gross Profit                       121,751     131,929     110,489     101,409

Operating Expenses:
  Research & Development                   0           0           0           0
  Selling, General & Adminis.         82,356      84,882      78,324      79,200
  Non-Recurring Expenses                   0           0           0           0
  Other Operating Expenses             5,975       6,314       5,666       5,293
  Total Operating Expenses                 0           0           0           0
  Operating Income or Loss            33,420      40,733      26,499      16,916

Income from Continuing Operations:
  Total Other Income/Expenses Net          0           0           0           0
  Earnings Before Int. & Taxes        34,550      41,899      27,331      17,703
  Interest Expense                     3,328       4,114       4,317       4,046
  Income Before Taxes                 31,222      37,785      23,014      13,657
  Income Tax Expense                  13,040       9,874       8,814       5,252
  Minority Interest                        0           0           0           0
  Net Income from Continuing Op.s     18,182      27,911      14,200       8,405

Non-recurring Events:
  Discontinued Operations               -134         -36          -9         -15
  Extraordinary Items                      0           0           0           0
  Effect of Accounting Changes             0           0           0           0
  Other Items                              0           0           0           0
  Net Income                          18,048      27,875      14,191       8,390

  Preferred Stock & Other Adj.s            0           0           0           0
  Net Income Avail To Common Shs      18,048      27,875      14,191       8,390


Annual Balance Sheets:                                All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                       Sep30,2011     Oct31,2010     Sep30,2010
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents                 26,467         39,446         39,446
  Short Term Investments                       0              0              0
  Net Receivables                        656,270        517,108        522,246
  Inventory                                    0              0              0
  Other Current Assets                    51,020         52,202         47,064
  Total Current Assets                   733,757        608,756        608,756

  Long-Term Investments                   95,650         95,576         95,576
  Property, Plant & Equipt                60,009         58,088         58,088
  Goodwill                               750,872        593,983        593,983
  Intangible Assets                      128,994         65,774         65,774
  Accumulated Amortization                     0              0              0
  Other Assets                            79,368         75,425         75,425
  Deferred Long Term Asset Charges        30,948         51,068         51,068
  Total Assets                         1,879,598      1,548,670      1,548,670

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                       443,196        333,780        333,851
  Short/Current Long Term Debt                 0              0              0
  Other Current Liabilities                    0             71              0
  Total Current Liabilities              443,196        333,851        333,851

  Long Term Debt                         300,000        140,500        140,500
  Other Liabilities                      340,516        335,294        335,294
  Deferred LT Liability Charges                0              0              0
  Minority Interest                            0              0              0
  Negative Goodwill                            0              0              0
  Total Liabilities                    1,083,712        809,645        809,645

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Stocks Options Warrants                0              0              0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock                   0              0              0
  Preferred Stock                              0              0              0
  Common Stock                               533            526            526
  Retained Earnings                      586,625        547,944        547,944
  Treasury Stock                               0              0              0
  Capital Surplus                        211,389        192,418        192,418
  Other Stockholder Equity                -2,661         -1,863         -1,863
  Total Stockholder Equity               795,886        739,025        739,025
  Net Tangible Assets                    -83,980         79,268         79,268


Quarterly Balance Sheets:                               All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                Sep30,2011   Jul31,2011   Apr30,2011   Jan31,2011
Current Assets:
  Cash & Cash Equivalents          26,467       39,614       23,290       31,365
  Short Term Investments                0            0            0            0
  Net Receivables                 656,270      662,446      634,843      645,877
  Inventory                             0            0            0            0
  Other Current Assets             51,020       62,996       57,832       59,510
  Total Current Assets            733,757      765,056      715,965      736,752

  Long-Term Investments            95,650       34,332       34,944      107,731
  Property, Plant & Equipt         60,009       62,055       62,346       66,176
  Goodwill                        750,872      746,832      742,179      726,518
  Intangible Assets               128,994      135,119      140,924      162,398
  Accumulated Amortization              0            0            0            0
  Other Assets                     79,368      140,962      175,424      104,686
  Deferred LT Asset Charges        30,948       42,479       45,209       51,578
  Total Assets                  1,879,598    1,926,835    1,916,991    1,955,839

Current Liabilities:
  Accounts Payable                443,196      442,309      402,359      420,580
  Current Portion LT Debt               0            0            0            0
  Other Current Liabilities             0            0            0            0
  Total Current Liabilities       443,196      442,309      402,359      420,580

  Long Term Debt                  300,000      365,000      396,000      430,000
  Other Liabilities               340,516      335,388      358,375      356,370
  Deferred LT Liab. Charges             0            0            0            0
  Minority Interest                     0            0            0            0
  Negative Goodwill                     0            0            0            0
  Total Liabilities             1,083,712    1,142,697    1,156,734    1,206,950

Stockholder Equity:
  Misc. Options, WarrantS               0            0            0            0
  Redeemable Perferred Stock            0            0            0            0
  Preferred Stock                       0            0            0            0
  Common Stock                        533          532          531          530
  Retained Earnings               586,625      576,139      555,821      549,177
  Treasury Stock                        0            0            0            0
  Capital Surplus                 211,389      208,600      204,613      200,079
  Other Stockholder Equity         -2,661       -1,133         -708         -897
  Total Stockholder Equity        795,886      784,138      760,257      748,889
  Net Tangible Assets             -83,980      -97,813     -122,846     -140,027


Annual Cash Flow:                                    All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                      Sep30,2011     Oct31,2010     Sep30,2010

  Net Income                             68,504         27,875         64,121
Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                           53,532         37,227         37,227
  Adjustments to Net Income              31,143         23,178         22,861
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls          -12,944         -2,005         -2,005
  Changes in Liabilities                 18,389         14,666         14,983
  Changes in Inventories                      0              0              0
  Changes in Other Op'ing Actv's              0          3,559          3,559
  Total Cash Flow fr Operations         159,990        149,864        149,864

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures                  -22,124        -23,942        -23,942
  Investments                             4,785              0              0
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing               0              0              0
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing        -307,412        -87,860        -87,860

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                        -29,744        -28,152        -28,152
  Sale or Purchase of Stock               9,708         11,376         11,376
  Net Borrowings                        159,500        -39,935        -39,935
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing               0              0              0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing         134,443        -56,711        -56,711

  Effect of Exchange Rate Change              0              0              0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.s         -12,979          5,293          5,293


Quarterly Cash Flow:                                   All Numbers in Thousands
  Period Ending                  Sep30,2011  Jul31,2011  Apr30,2011  Jan31,2011

  Net Income                         18,048      27,875      14,191       8,390

Operating Activites:
  Depreciation                       13,867      13,323      13,448      12,894
  Adjustments to Net Income           9,502      10,823       6,264       4,554
  Changes in Accounts Recv'bls       12,564      -4,197      15,798     -37,109
  Changes in Liabilities             15,998       2,973     -17,148      16,566
  Changes in Inventories                  0           0           0           0
  Changes in Other Oper'g Acts            0       4,269         231      -1,287
  Total Cash Flow f Operations       75,153      51,660      31,880       1,297

Investing Activities:
  Capital Expenditures               -5,577      -6,449      -4,885      -5,213
  Investments                           740        -162       4,837        -630
  Other Cash Flows fr Investing           0       1,771         310    -292,144
  Total Cash Flows fr Investing      -4,847      -4,840         262    -297,987

Financing Acitivies:
  Dividends Paid                     -7,466      -7,444      -7,436      -7,398
  Sale or Purchase of Stock             189       1,788       2,000       5,731
  Net Borrowings                    -76,146     -24,840     -34,781     295,267
  Other Cash Flows fr Financing           0           0           0           0
  Total Cash Flows fr Financing     -83,453     -30,496     -40,217     288,609

  Effect of Exchange Rate Chg             0           0           0           0
  Change in Cash & Cash Equiv.      -13,147      16,324      -8,075      -8,081


ABM    ABM Industries Inc.                [Indices near +3.0 or near zero,
                                          or < zero bear special attention.]
P/E Ratio Tests:
Current P/E Ratio < 28?    1.7094       P/E Ratio > 5?             1.0000
P/E Ratio Vs Growth Rate:  3.0000       Forward P/E Ratio < 28?    2.1875

Sales Tests:
Price/Sales Ratio < 2.3?   3.0000       Inventory/Sales < 5%?      1.0000
Sales < $1 billion?        0.2355       Operating Margin < 7.5%?   2.7076

Balance Sheet Tests:
Debt/Equity < 0.40?        0.0106       Long-Term Debt Service:    2.6530
LTD Being Reduced?         1.8000       Short-Term Debt Service:   3.0000
Current Ratio > 2?         0.8300       Working Capital >= 1.5?    1.2080
Leverage Ratio < 20%?      1.0898       Debt / Assets < 1?         3.0000
Quick Ratio > 1?           1.5405       Inventory Turnover > 1?    1.0000
Shares Out Decreasing?     2.4000       Market Cap.> 1.5 Billion?  1.3514
                                        Profit Margin > 7.5%?      0.2147
Income Tests:
Dividend Yield > 2.0%?     2.1429       EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.2900
Enterprise Value/Revenue:  0.2133       EPS 5-yr Growth > 20%?     1.3600
Enterprise Value/EBITDA:   1.1443       EPS Growth Consistent?     1.8000
EPS Qrtly Growth > 10%?   -1.7200       Collection < 45 days?      0.7978
Rev. Qtrly Growth > 15%?   3.0000       Gross Pft/Cur. LTD < 1?    3.0000
EPS Annual Growth > 10%?   0.2900       Borrowing Int. Rate< 6%?   1.8816

Stock Performance Tests:
Volatility > 25%?          1.7736       % Held by Insiders  < 5%?  0.2894
Beta > 1.25?               1.0080       % Held by Institut. < 50?  0.5882
50 Da MA > 200 Da MA?      0.0499       % Held by Institut. > 30?  2.8333
52-Wk Change vs. S&P 500:  0.1447       Short Ratio > 5?           0.9600
Price/Book Value < 3?      2.6300       Short % of Float > 20?     0.3450
Return on Assets > 17%?    0.2524       Average Volume > 100,000?  3.0000

Cash Flow Tests:
Oper. C.F. > Lever'd C.F:  2.1421       Positive Free Cash Flow?   1.0000
Positive Oper. Cash Flow?  1.0000       Price to C.F./sh. Ratio:   1.0615
                                        Cash Flow / Assets >.10?   0.3974

ABM     ABM Industries Inc.             Overall Zenith Index:      1.3957


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Ownership:

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The summary below includes a value for `Degree,' which refers on a
scale of 1 to 10 the range of a channel in the period under consi-
deration compared to the total range of price movement. It also looks
for the last closing price to be within the channel, otherwise zeroed.
The `Index' is the `Degree' weighted for volatility.  Generally, the
the higher the index, the more suitable is the stock for trading as
a `rolling stock' between channel high and low points.

Results for ABM Industries Inc.:
Symbol? ABM
Total Months Available:  49
       Months in Cycle?   4

Months Covered by Periods:  12

Period 1           Period 2          Period 3
   H1      L1        H2      L2        H3      L3
  27.14   22.80     24.04   17.29     22.96   17.51

RANGE   =  27.14  TO   17.29            Close =  20.70
CHANNEL =  22.96  TO   22.80           Degree =   0
Volatility =   0.77%                    Index =   0
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Recommendation

Decision Weighting Factors
FactorsWeighted Points
News + 1
Comparison + 1
Industry + 1
Bond Issue 0
Zenith Index + 1
Non-GAAP vs. GAAP Earnings < 1%- 1
Cash Flow - 1
Ratios + 1
Market Grader - 1
Intrinsic Value DCF + 1
Intrinsic Value DDM + 1
Stock Scout + 1
Projected Earnings + 1
Research Reports - 1
Analysts - 1
Executive Perquisites + 1
Insider Activity + 1
Institutional Activity + 1
Management Reporting + 1
Short Interest - 1
Sentiment + 1
Standard & Poor's + 1
Moving Average - 1
Right Time Study - 1
Stock Fetcher - 1
Point & Figure + 1
Wall Street Analyzer + 1
Marketspace Chart + 1
Time Series Chart - 1
Neural Network + 1
Stock Options - 1
Ultimate Trading Systems + 1
Total + 9
Place 1,470 shares of ABM Industries Inc. (ABM) on the Active List.